BA with notes on the unsigned first rounders (count me on those who think Appel is a moron if he walks away):
Kevin Gausman, rhp, Louisiana State (Orioles, first round, No. 4 overall): Though he intimated to the New Orleans Times-Picayune on Monday that he might return to LSU for his junior season, that's unlikely. He should sign somewhere around the assigned value for his pick, $4.2 million.
Mark Appel, rhp, Stanford (Pirates, first round, No. 8 overall): Appel was expected to go No. 1 overall to the Astros and sign for in the neighborhood of $6 million. Instead, he slipped to No. 8 and Pittsburgh currently can't pay him more than $3,837,575 without forfeiting a first-round pick, which it has vowed not to do. Appel would risk a lot by re-entering the 2013 draft, but his camp has sent out vibes that he's prepared to do that. This one could go either way.
Andrew Heaney, lhp, Oklahoma State (Marlins, first round, No. 9 overall): Miami has taken a hard-line approach with Heaney and told him Tuesday that they would not sign him. Various sources say they capped their offer at $2.2 million, $2.6 million and $2.7 million, all shy of his assigned pick value of $2.8 million. The Marlins have insisted on thorough physicals for draft picks following 2003 first-rounder Jeff Allison's battle with drug addiction, and there may not be enough time to get that done. But it's still hard to imagine that Miami will walk away from Heaney, especially when it didn't have a second-round pick and hasn't signed its third-rounder.
Lucas Giolito, rhp, Harvard-Westlake HS, Studio City, Calif. (Nationals, first round, No. 16 overall): Before injuring his elbow in March, Giolito figured to go in the top three selections and command a bonus of $5 million or more. He hasn't pitched in a game since and has a scholarship from UCLA as an option. Washington can spend $3,034,510 without losing a first-round choice, and that seems like a fair price that balances his ceiling and risk.
Richie Shaffer, 3b, Clemson (Rays, first round, No. 25 overall): Shaffer has agreed to terms with Tampa Bay on a bonus slightly under his assigned pick value of $1,725,000. His deal should be announced early today.