Author Topic: 2015 MLB Draft  (Read 16690 times)

davep

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #315 on: June 06, 2015, 11:04:47 am »
I thought about this earlier.  I think that there would be extreme pressure from MLB offices if they were to offer underslot money and not sign him, but if they offered slot money (3.5 million) or a little more, it would be hard for the MLB to get involved.

As far as losing the pick is concerned, that only happens if they sign a player with a qualifying offer, which is in their control.  And I am beginning to believe that they will not do so this winter.

I have no idea what next year's draft class looks like, but I am quite sure that our front office does, and can take that into consideration.

I think what it comes down to is if they think that they can sign their first choice this year for enough underslot to pick up a few good overslot players later in the first 10 picks.  That strategy seems to have worked well last year, but this year's first pick has a lot less slot money to work with.

But even if it isn't their actual strategy, at least it seems as if they wouldn't lose much if anything if they for some reason can not sign their first pick.

Reb

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #316 on: June 06, 2015, 03:42:26 pm »
2016 is likely to be better.

They would pick 10th.

If they sign a free agent with compensation they would lose the pick.

The entire draft would be a waste and they could lose the pick next year so I would say no.

If Cubs draft Cameron at #9 and fail to sign him, the compensation pick for failing to sign a Rule 4 pick is NOT subject to forfeiture. So, that pick (#10 next year, assuming all higher picks in 2015 sign) is protected. In other words, Cubs could sign Price or Zimmermann and keep the pick. Cubs would lose next highest pick.

StrikeZone

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #317 on: June 06, 2015, 03:46:20 pm »
If Cubs draft Cameron at #9 and fail to sign him, the compensation pick for failing to sign a Rule 4 pick is NOT subject to forfeiture. So, that pick (#10 next year, assuming all higher picks in 2015 sign) is protected. In other words, Cubs could sign Price or Zimmermann and keep the pick. Cubs would lose next highest pick.

That's what I was thinking but wasn't sure about it.  Thanks for clearing it up, Reb.

CUBluejays

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #318 on: June 06, 2015, 04:20:14 pm »
Learn something new everyday, but it would have been protected as a top 10 pick anyway.

Callis and McDaniel talked about it on a podcast for fangraphs this week.  They thought that no team would punt the pick on purpose. The only scenario they thought would be possible is if a draftee changed his demands after the draft.

Looking at McDaniel's ratings for the 2016 draft a lot of the top talent is pitching, so it may evaporate secondary to injuries. I believe some of the top pitchers had TJS this year.  The elite guys next year go 7 deep. So picking 10th you would get a better player, but your not likely to get an elite guy.
« Last Edit: June 06, 2015, 04:24:22 pm by CUBluejays »

AndyMacFAIL

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #319 on: June 07, 2015, 08:01:35 pm »


With the 2015 MLB Rule 4 Draft less than 24 hours away, it's prediction time.  Make your prediction on who Theo/Jed/McLeod choose with the overall #9 pick.

I'm guessing Florida HS outfielder Kyle Tucker is still there at #9 and the Cubs pick him.   I'm also predicting that whomever the Cubs end up picking McLeod will claim they had him at #2 on their board after the player the D-Backs draft with the #1 overall pick.


CUBluejays

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #320 on: June 07, 2015, 08:06:57 pm »
Brady Aiken

They'll claim he's #1 on their board.  😈


papa smurf

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #321 on: June 07, 2015, 08:11:20 pm »
Walker Buehler  has great first year but then goes down in the 2nd year with TJS.

Reb

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #322 on: June 07, 2015, 08:28:17 pm »
Guessing Benintendi---and Cubs will emphasize that still love Almora and can't have enough up-the-miidle guys because they can play anywhere.

CurtOne

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #323 on: June 07, 2015, 08:28:48 pm »
I've been trusted with the name of the Cub's pick but I'm sworn to secrecy until after the pick.

guest61

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #324 on: June 07, 2015, 09:26:41 pm »
Benintendi.

mO

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #325 on: June 07, 2015, 09:31:48 pm »
Smith

davep

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #326 on: June 07, 2015, 10:01:01 pm »
Benintendi.
I've been trusted with the name of the Cub's pick but I'm sworn to secrecy until after the pick.

No problem.  You won't remember it that long.

Dave23

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #327 on: June 07, 2015, 10:09:10 pm »
Fullmer

bitterman

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #328 on: June 07, 2015, 10:27:53 pm »
If their comfortable with the medicals.. Aiken.

CurtOne

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Re: 2015 MLB Draft
« Reply #329 on: June 07, 2015, 10:28:25 pm »
My Aiken heart