He threw harder as a frosh. Including a no hitter. He lost velocity as a sophmore.
Don't think he threw harder as a freshman. The velocity spike came after his frosh season---during fall 2013 scrimmages. See BA 2014 pre-season preview.
Think that velocity spike did not continue from fall scrimmages to 2014 season. But, K rate improved somewhat from 54 to 66 Ks in 103 IP.
Then, 92 Ks in 115 IP as Jr. More homers, however.
This is a guy with an impressive 3-year college performance.
Given his increased Ks (but more homers), what ye say about his x-FIP and ERA- ?