Author Topic: Cubs in '11  (Read 57393 times)

Jes Beard

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1485 on: June 16, 2011, 08:14:26 am »
I think you are right, JR, about the necessity of a baseball president.  What I didn't like was the tone of the answer, which basically ridiculed the notion of a different approach.  I would like to think that TR is open-minded about different approaches than the one his management team is taking, given what is unfolding on the field.

TR likely ridiculed the suggestion of a baseball president because he sees it as suggesting that he is not capable of doing the job he is doing, which he likely has come to love, and which his family (or at the very minimum his father, according to the video I posted of his father) insisted he take after the purchase.

buff

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1486 on: June 16, 2011, 08:58:36 am »
Cubs should try and sign Scott Kazmir.  He can't be any worse than most of the other guys we have thrown out there.

mO

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1487 on: June 16, 2011, 09:02:28 am »
He had a 12+ ERA in AAA.

Eastcoastfan

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1488 on: June 16, 2011, 09:39:13 am »
From Phil Rogers new column:

-- Convince Aramis Ramirez he'd really rather spend August and September in some place like San Francisco, Milwaukee or Detroit. Ramirez isn't the guy he once was but with a strong run between now and then he could still be a valuable commodity at the trade deadline, provided he backs away from his position on using his no-trade clause to stay in Chicago. Third base is a wasteland around the major leagues. Consider this: With Ramirez as the primary guy, the Cubs have a .743 OPS at third, which is the sixth best in the majors. Given that the Cubs aren't going to exercise their $16 million option on Ramirez for 2012, Hendry has to find a way to get a prospect or two for him.

Even I know (admittedly, from reading this board) that he would need to waive his right to have his option vest.  You would think that the Trib's Cubs beat writer would know this.

JR

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1489 on: June 16, 2011, 10:09:56 am »
You'd also think a Cubs writer would know Ramirez has already said he won't be waiving his no-trade clause this year.

Cactus

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1490 on: June 16, 2011, 10:15:11 am »
But he could be right when he picks Matt Kucher to win the U.S. Open

Jes Beard

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1491 on: June 16, 2011, 11:07:55 am »
Cubs should try and sign Scott Kazmir.  He can't be any worse than most of the other guys we have thrown out there.

Why sign a player like Kazmir?

Even if he helps the team win a couple more games (which he likely would not), that is going to make no difference, other than perhaps causing the Cubs to draft a couple of slots lower next year.

Better to suffer thru starts from someone like Coleman to see if he develops enough to be serviceable.

Jes Beard

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1492 on: June 16, 2011, 11:10:30 am »
You'd also think a Cubs writer would know Ramirez has already said he won't be waiving his no-trade clause this year.

Yea, and I'm betting that he has also said he would hustle during games.

He said he won't waive it.  That is not the same as refusing to waive it.  He might refuse, but it would make sense to try.

Reb

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1493 on: June 16, 2011, 11:22:56 am »
The primary point that Phil Rogers made is pretty interesting, actually.

3B is the lowest performing offensive position in the NL with a .681 average OPS.  That's lower than SS and C.  It's .681 in the AL too.

Naturally, we have been comparing the new Aramis to the old Aramis and that's a pale comparison.

But, I had no idea how poorly performing the 3B position is around MLB this season. 

One thing to conclude from that is that you better have a masher at 1B.


davep

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1494 on: June 16, 2011, 11:53:13 am »
No problem.  We can put LeMahieu out there again.

Deeg

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1495 on: June 16, 2011, 11:58:02 am »
I think I saw Ryan Flaherty's face on the side of a milk carton.

craig

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1496 on: June 16, 2011, 12:00:13 pm »
I think the point about how weak 3B is overall is fascinating.  What are the numbers in LF, I wonder?  How about 1B? 

As a prospects guy, I think these issues especially pertinent.  Prospect boards often take the attitude that if some guy ends up underqualified to play SS/2B defense, that if he doesn't project to hit 20 HR and hit .280 that he's worthless as a 3B prospect.  So that Lemahieu or Flaherty, for example, are only useful if they can stick at 2B (or perhaps SS or 2B in case of Baez.)  And that Vitters only chance to be useful is if he somehow magically and impossibly makes himself into an acceptable 3B, but that if you move him to 1B or LF that he's got no chance to be useful. 

Maybe we over-expect production at some of these positions, and as a result undervalue prospects who might need to end up at 3B, LF, or 1B but won't be able to be .900-OPS guys. 

Reb

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1497 on: June 16, 2011, 12:28:18 pm »
Craig-  Go to "splits" in the link below and you can find stats for each position (among other things).

http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/team/_/stat/batting/split/81/sort/OPS/order/true

Ron

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1498 on: June 16, 2011, 01:05:32 pm »
Craig-  Go to "splits" in the link below and you can find stats for each position (among other things).

http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/team/_/stat/batting/split/81/sort/OPS/order/true

Thanks for the link, Reb.

Interesting results.  In only one position are the Cubs in the top 9 in OPS (besides 3B), and that's LF, where they are #5.    I was surprised to see the Cubs (that is, Soriano) that high. SS is #10, 2B is #12 and RF is #13.

It seems to me that most people here primarily evaluate players based on their offensive numbers.  That's the only reason someone could suggest that DeWitt (or anybody else on the Cubs) is a better 2B than Barney.  Yet, by position, Soriano is outperforming every other Cub, offensively, by a long ways.

I totally get the frustration with Soriano, who is something of a shadow of the player he was when the Cubs got him, before he started getting injured and getting older.  He can often be maddening at the plate,  his defense is bad (though not as bad as Adam Dunn for example - who some wanted the Cubs to acquire), and his contract is horrible.   But still, the antipathy toward him among many here seems to me to be over the top.
« Last Edit: June 16, 2011, 01:23:52 pm by Ron »

brjones

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Re: Cubs in '11
« Reply #1499 on: June 16, 2011, 01:39:58 pm »
The problem with Soriano is that the Cubs' LF OBP is 24th.  Most of the teams behind the Cubs in LF OBP (Dodgers, Angels, Twins, Mariners, Blue Jays) have had complete disasters in LF this year.  Since OBP is the more important component of OPS, the fact that Soriano is so poor in that area (.296) outweighs his positive contributions on offense.

You evaluate his defense differently than I would...he looks every bit as bad as Adam Dunn to me.  He's scared of the wall, looks tentative on everything, gives the other team extra bases much more often than an outfielder should, and doesn't have any kind of speed or range.  He cannot handle playing in the field, and shouldn't be allowed out there after this season.  Basically, he doesn't do anything well at all anymore except hit the ball out of the ballpark.