...As to Baez, he would have to look really good final two months of season to be a centerpiece, which I expect. As to his Ks, keep in mind that his BR 162-game K pace with Cubs last season was 296!! So, to project him at 180--a 100+ K reduction, is giving him every benefit of the doubt. Think he is a near-lock to be there, optimistically.....
Think it's unrealistic to envision Baez getting down to 180-K. I think either we (or other GM's) need to love him as a 200+ K-guy, or else don't love him quite so much.