Author Topic: Cubs in '15 (8/3 - 12/1)  (Read 31046 times)

Jes Beard

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Re: Cubs in '15 (8/3 - 12/1)
« Reply #15 on: August 03, 2015, 06:55:14 pm »
To put is some $ terms.  Gray is going to a roughly 5 fWAR pitcher this year.  If he does that for 4 years at $8 million/WAR that is a $160 million value.  Let's overshoot his arbitation salaries and go $.5, $4, $10, $20.  These numbers are way to high, but that is $34.5 million over 4 years.  His excess value is $125.5 million.  Hamels brought back 3 top 100 guys with maybe half that excess value.

And you need to discount that value by at least 25% based on the breakdown rate of pitchers.