Given ....his near .900 OPS in the second half, I don't see them trading him ....
Tango's "Marcel the Monkey" projects to .806. I expect something above Marcel but below 2nd-half .894. I'm guessing maybe .830-type guy?
Im guessing the amazing HR/contact rate he had 2nd half isn't sustainable and will drop. He was more than double the HR/contact of any of Bryant, Rizzo, or Baez; higher than Stanton; almost Judge; and short of Bonds 73-HR season but much closer to that than to Bryant or Rizzo.
HR/contact rate:
2017 Baez: 7.1%
2017 Bryant: 6.8%
2017 Rizzo: 6.6%
2nd-half Schwarber: 14.9%
Stanton 2017: 13.6%
Judge: 15.6%.
Historic juiced-ball-juiced-body 73-HR-season Bonds: 19.0%
So, I think we should be a little cautious in assuming the .894 2nd-half is what we should expect as normal. Without a 15% HR/contact rate, he'd need other aspects of his offense to go up, in order to stay near the .894 2nd-half number he posted.
His 2nd-half K-rate jumped a lot, compared to first half, and his walk-rate dropped.
So kind of looks like he just got more aggressive and sold out for the HR, and it paid off.
Will be interesting if he tries, and is able, to make any adjustments to hit the ball more often. Or if maybe he and management will figure it's best to just sell out on the HR, and that's just who he is and what he's going to be.