Career 3.42 ERA, last year 3.86.
*Over is career, he's basically been a 6-inning-per-start guy.
*Career average is 1.0 HR/game, lower early in his career, higher lately.
*Turns 32 this summer.
*The hope will be that he can maintain his stuff and his performance for several years, but it's obviously probable that at some point during the contract is stuff is going to decline to some extent going into his mid-30's.
*Fastball has good velocity, but not especially good movement. (Sometimes hitters anticipate fastball against good-fastball guys, but still can't kill it because the life is good. Houston killed them.)
Seems like a solid pitcher, very good, I'd love to get him, and the 2018 Cubs will probably be a LOT more competitive with him than with Lackey or some back-end rotation filler. So I'm fired up about the possibilities. I'm also guessing that he's got stuff so that on his better days, he can probably be really good. Hopefully some of those will be in October and November. But I can't expect him to be great, he's a 3.42 guy who gives up a lot of HR's, and who probably uses a lot of pitches to get through his 6 and once-in-a-while 7 innings.