Steele, Stroman, Wicks and Taillon are likely to be in the rotation when the season starts next year. Unless he pitches lights out in the spring, Smily is likely to be in the pen. It is much more likely that the fifth starter will be either Asaad or Wesneski, unless they sign a free agent.
Steele was one of the best pitchers in baseball for just about the entire season.
Stroman was one of the better pitchers in baseball for the first half, and then did poorly when he was injured. Do you have information that he is not likely to be recovered by the beginning of next season?
Taillon has been a very good pitcher for a number of years. He did very poorly in the beginning of the year, but came back quite strongly in the second half of the season. You can assume that he will be bad again next year, but it would be helpful if you gave us the basis of your assumption.
Wicks performed well in the short time he was up. To early to call, but he had a good track record when he was drafted, and continued that track record in the minors, substantiated by decent scouting reports.
What kind of production will we get from the fifth starter? If Asaad and Wesneski fail, and if we get no early promotion for Horton, then we will probably get the kind of production that almost everyone gets from their fifth starter. Mediocre.
And all that assumes that they will not bring in someone in free agency or trade.
Probably a little early to make assumptions like that.