Horton and his selection has obviously dominated draft discussions for good reason. But the riskier $3M Ferris pick, that's a really significant risky and expensive guy.
Johnson and Pareda will have substantial deals coming, but at present only 18 guys have gotten ≥$3M deals. So Ferris will be one of only 21 guys that get to $3M. He's getting valued and paid like a solid first-rounder; I think the expectations/hopes should be commensurate with that. Bryant got a huge deal. Horton, HOward (3.7), and Almora (3.9) got deals larger than Ferris. And obviously it's dumb to ignore inflation.
But Ferris at $3.0 will be essentially on par with Happ (3.0), Schwarbs (3.1), and Wicks (3.1). And ahead of thriftier first rounders like Nico (2.7), Little (2.2), Jensen (2.0) and Lange (1.9).
Kantro obviously really values the guy and sees some big possibilities. We really are justified in viewing Ferris as a 1st round guy with first-round possibilities, and not as a late-round first either.
I admit some puzzlement as to the delay in his signing. The $3.0M slot has been defined for a while. What's the holdup? Who knows, and perhaps who cares. Maybe his grandfather has a big birhtday and family reunion? Maybe his mom and dad wanted to come along for the signing and this weekend is better? Maybe his sister got Covid so he didn't want to expose the plane? Probably nothing of any concern. I do admit, though, that the last time a first-rounder took a puzzlingly long time to sign, it was Alex Lange, who'd failed his physical. HOping it's nothing like that at issue with Ferris.
Tangent: When the twitter pictures of signings get shared, is that the player posting those, or the Cubs? Perhaps for all I know Ferris signed on Wednesday, but*if* the Cubs don't post them and Ferris doesn't happen to be an Instagram guy or Twitter guy or whatever, maybe he's just not told the world even thought it's already happened?
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