Author Topic: Cubs in '19  (Read 72459 times)

CUBluejays

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #255 on: October 22, 2018, 11:55:42 am »
Cub reporters have described it as lateral, Ranger reporters say he'll have a bunch of responsibilities.  What the Rangers reporters list would fall under just heading an analytics department to my perspective.  It could be a GM in waiting type of thing too.  I have no clue. 

brjones

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #256 on: October 25, 2018, 10:44:18 pm »
Kaplan apparently speculated a couple days ago that the Cubs could trade Schwarber for Merrifield this offseason. The author at this Royals SB Nation blog picked that up and thinks it would be a reasonable deal. Personally, I think the Royals would reject it pretty quickly. I don't know why the Royals would want a worse performing player with less team control, even if he is 4 years younger. But maybe I'm wrong.

https://www.royalsreview.com/2018/10/25/18022972/thoughts-on-a-theoretical-merrifield-schwarber-swap

CUBluejays

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #257 on: October 25, 2018, 11:47:51 pm »
Maybe they think they are selling high on him?

Merrifield is interesting.  His defense at 2b the last 2 years is blah according to UZR/150. He only has 547 innings in the OF and they have been blah to except for the 200 innings in CF this year, but that is a small sample size.

His offensive value this year was tied in his base running and OBP. He walked more this year and rarely strikes out which are nice, but his OBP was fuled by his BABIP. When it wasn’t .370+ he was monthly wRC+ was 101,103, 106.  105 wRC+ was a 2.9 fWAR player last year in 145 games. His sprint speed would lead the Cubs at 29.1 to Baez 28.9.

Taking into account Whitfield turnin 30 and last year was likely his career year I’d pass, not to mention his minor league stats look very Albert Almora-ish.

Deeg

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #258 on: October 26, 2018, 01:43:54 am »
That is sort of an interesting possibility.  Small but not tiny sample size in CF is pretty encouraging, not a butcher at 2B.  The minor league #s definitely don't wow you, but maybe that's Schwarber's realistic value right now.

ben

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #259 on: October 26, 2018, 08:09:28 am »
Schwarber just played his age 25 season and has fewer than 1,200 MLB ABs with not that much minor league seasoning.  He improved in some categories this season.

He may be a guy who doesn't improve a lot going forward, but who knows?  I seriously doubt Theo will sell low on Schwarber and Merrifield would be selling low!

brjones

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #260 on: October 26, 2018, 08:28:42 am »
Schwarber only has 3 years of control left. He's starting to get more expensive, and he hasn't come close to living up to the potential the front office thought he had. He's not that young anymore either--at 26 years old, he's starting to get to the point where the default expectation is that he just is who he's going to be. He's just not that valuable in a trade anymore--I think Cubs fans overvalue him.

Merrifield was 16th in MLB in fWAR and 25th in rWAR this year. He's probably going to get a few down-ballot MVP votes. He's a little older...but if anyone would be selling their player at a discount in that speculated deal, it's the Royals.

ben

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #261 on: October 26, 2018, 09:24:19 am »
brjones, it could be that Schwarber this season was about all he will be...however, with barely 1,500 professional ABs TOTAL (less than 1,100 MLB), my guess is that Theo et al see that differently, particularly as he grew in some respects this season.

Of course, we shall see.  There are many other factors, such as whether our FO still views Schwarber as the kind of person/player who will do what it takes to fulfill his potential (if they believe he does have quite a bit of untapped potential...as I certainly want to believe).




Playtwo

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #262 on: October 26, 2018, 09:46:12 am »
Given the current state of the team, I like the idea of adding Machado (rather than Harper).  Against RHP, you go with Schwarber, Happ/Almora, Heyward/Zobrist in the OF, with Bryant, Machado, Baez, Rizzo around the infield.  Against LHP, Bryant and Happ play corner OF, Machado moves to third, Baez to SS, and Zobrist to 2B.  Assuming some progression by Happ and Schwarber, and a likely comeback year for Contreras, this would be a pretty formidable offense.

Ron

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #263 on: October 26, 2018, 10:21:07 am »
I will be surprised (and disappointed) if the Cubs sign Machado. He does not seem to me to fit the "character" profile the Cubs are looking for, particularly in a star player.

brjones

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #264 on: October 26, 2018, 10:48:11 am »
Machado had that incident with Aguilar in the NLCS, which was bad. But really, I don't remember him being consistently controversial. He's certainly not a Milton Bradley type--at worst, he seems to be an AJ Pierzynski type who is liked by his teammates but frustrates the opposition. And we know he's close with Almora. I have no issue signing him if he is the best fit from a talent perspective.

I'll say again that the Cubs need two hitters this offseason: Harper or Machado and a top of order/leadoff type. I don't have a strong preference on the stars--I lean towards Harper a little, but it also depends on what players are available to be that second hitter. If the best fit for that role is an outfielder, maybe that Machado/OF pair is a better fit than a Harper/IF pair.

CUBluejays

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #265 on: October 26, 2018, 11:21:09 am »
Harper over Machado all day.  Harper and a healthy Bryant fixes the offense.

1) Zobrist 2B
2.) Harper RF
3.) Bryant 3B
4.) Rizzo 1B
5.) Baez SS
6.) Schwarber LF
7.) Contreras C
8.) Heyward/Amora CF

Have Bolte as 3B/2B/emergency SS.  You can limit Zobrists playing time for the playoffs.  I haven't seen an offense yet proposed that tops that and you aren't sacrificing much on defense either.

Ron

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #266 on: October 26, 2018, 01:29:10 pm »
Some history on Manny Machado, before his disgraceful episode with Aguilar.

Throwing his bat at the opposing 3B and hitting a catcher in the head (twice) then smiling about it.

http://www.sportingnews.com/us/mlb/news/manny-machado-throws-bat-video-knee-fernando-abad-athletics-orioles-bench-clearing-brawl/zexydnu7zp9y1i7y8lrgibzc3

https://www.sbnation.com/mlb/2014/6/9/5795156/manny-machado-orioles-bat-throwing-josh-donaldson-athletics-mlb

Spiking Duston Pedroia



His comment on not hustling to 1B:

Machado responded to that criticism and might have stoked the flames even more. Here’s what he told Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic: (emphasis ours)

“I’ve been thinking about it and it happens every time, there’s no excuse for it honestly. I’ve never given excuses for not running. I’m not hurt, there’s no excuse but I’ve been the same player … I’ve been doing this for eight years, I’m in The Show for eight years, I’ve done the same thing for eight years, I’ve been the same player. (Machado actually just completed his seventh season.)

“Obviously I’m not going to change, I’m not the type of player that’s going to be ‘Johnny Hustle,’ and run down the line and slide to first base and … you know, whatever can happen. That’s just not my personality, that’s not my cup of tea, that’s not who I am.

“Should I have run on that pitch? Yeah … but I didn’t and I gotta pay the consequences for it. It does look bad. It looks terrible. I look back at the video and I’m like, ‘Woah, what was I doing?’ You know, just the emotions of the game … I’m the type of player that has stayed in the zone, I’m playing and I’m just in the zone.”

Machado is a great player, no question. Sammy Sosa was a great player for the Cubs as well, but he was poison in the clubhouse and his arrogance and focus on himself were harmful. Maybe that could be tolerated on a team that had been so unsuccessful and was so dependent on him. That was then, and this is now - a team that has lots of talent and a great culture. And while Sosa didn't create problems with other teams, Machado has single-handedly created animosity between his team and at least three others (A's, Red Sox and Brewers). The Cubs don't need that kind of distraction.  Adding Machado to this team, which focuses so much culture and team approach, would, in my opinion be a very big mistake.

guest61

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #267 on: October 26, 2018, 01:41:31 pm »
Ill take Machado over Harper.

ben

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #268 on: October 26, 2018, 02:52:30 pm »
My best guess is there's NO way Theo goes after Machado!

(Ron's above post lays it out rather clearly)

Bennett

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Re: Cubs in '19
« Reply #269 on: October 26, 2018, 03:07:12 pm »
My best guess is there's NO way Theo goes after Machado!

(Ron's above post lays it out rather clearly)

No guessing about it.