Author Topic: Cubs in '20  (Read 49477 times)

craig

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Re: Cubs in '20
« Reply #2445 on: July 01, 2020, 02:21:08 pm »
Lux line 2021: 
1.  For 2020, at $216.6, over the $208 line by $8.6
2.  2021, lux line will rise by only $2, from $208 to $210.  So basically presently we'd be $6.6 over that.
3.  Possible lux reductions:
Lester:  25.8
Chatwood:  12.7
Q:  10.5
Descalso:  2.5
Brad Brach:  1.1

Basically those 5 guys would take $52.6 off from what we've got now.  With the cap going up by a couple, in a sense we'd be $54.6 better than now.  Given that we're $8.6 over now, that would put us about $46 under. 

My guess is that salary raises for Bryant and Baez and those guys will gobble up a bunch of that $46.  But that with the state of the economy, with possibly uncertainty about whether Covid will continue to reduce fan attendance and revenue next year, and after the big losses the Cubs will experience this year, my guess is the Cubs will probably elect to NOT go over the lux line again this winter.  Even if that means going into next season with Mills, Alzolay or whomever, and a reduced-contract Chatwood as rotation guys. 

Just can't imagine they're going to want to shoot into 3-tax penalty, draft-pick pushback, etc. after the financial burn they'll be experiencing this season.