I think it's way too early in the offseason to make that conclusion. The free agent market moves very, very slowly now. Only one major free agent has signed, and he used his qualifying offer as leverage to set a deadline for 29 teams. ... No team is just going to immediately say yes to his agent's first offer even if they're ultimately willing to pay that price.
"No team is just going to immediately say yes to his agent's first offer even if they're ultimately willing to pay that price." Things drag, because agents ask high. Harper wanted half-billion, Kimbrel $100M, Arrieta $200M, etc.
If Shogo's first-ask is $15/3 and *if* he's hypothetically willing to sign now, and *IF* the Cubs actually trusted that he's a .298/.368/.411 as Davenport translates, then there would be no logic for dragging it out. Under that hypothetical, you'd want to grab him ASAP, before somebody else grabs that steal.
That it isn't happening proves that one of the hypotheticals is false, probably two or more of them.
*The Cubs don't really trust that he's Davenport's .298/.368/.411.
*His agent doesn't really trust that he's Davenport's .298/.368/.411. If he did, he'd be looking for more than $15/3.
*Whether the agent is Japanese or American, just like any other American agent if you offer $15/3 today he still won't take the deal, and will just take that elsewhere to try to leverage for a higher deal.
My basic point, though, was that Davenport's .298/.368/.411 is probably believed by nobody, gm's or agents. *IF* it was, the agent would know he could get >$15/3, and teams would try to snap up a $15/3 bargain. The .298/.368/.411 is not a safe translation or projection.