Author Topic: Cubs in ‘23  (Read 55111 times)

craig

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Re: Cubs in ‘23
« Reply #45 on: October 19, 2022, 09:45:00 pm »
I do assume that long-term spending capacity has to factor in.  tico and deeg reason that we have resources to go huge.  But it would be nice for Hoyer to kind of guesstimate how high he'll be able to go in 24-25-26-27.  (Even if he's thinking $280 and we think he should be spending $380, or whatever...).

After 2015, Theo identified Heyward as a Superstar and used his resources to get him.  I assume Theo knew pretty reasonably what he'd have to work with in the ensuing years, and wasn't going to get budgeted to $250 and $280 and $310.  But he did it anyway, accepting that he'd be tied up financially.  Had he been right, history would look diffeerent.  But with Theo going all in on superstar-Heyward, and not-young Lackey and Zobrist, he ended up financially tied. 

A difference is that we don't already have guys stepping towards arbitration.  Once Bryant and the young guys hit arbitration, the inflation path was severe even without adding new talent.  Right now, it seems like other than Hoerner, there aren't any imminent arbitration-inflation guys?  Keegan and steele, soon enough I guess, IF they remain good.  But if cats like Mervis and Canario and PCA and Wicks do become part of the next good team, there remains a 3-year window before those kinds of guys even start the arb spiral.