Does anybody really believe that Ricketts would pull a Hoyer? I have a hard time believing that Tom would show up at Hoyer's house and let him go if there was a Counsell level baseball executive that was a free agent. Short of Theo wanting to come back I think this is Jed's job until he doesn' want it any more.
This will be Hoyer's 4th season. Hoyer called it a "healthy" situation. He must have emphasized that (persuasively) to Counsell, who repeatedly used "healthy" to describe the Cubs scenario. I suspect Ricketts sees it that way as well.
These last two winters, it's been understandable to perceive progress. They finished 2022 strongly. Then this year won more games, had a fun and competitive summer, were in the playoff race before the September collapse, and the farm system is now well respected with significant prospects nearing graduation. I think it's appropriate to see the arrow pointing up in a healthy way.
But yeah, trajectory perceptions can change pretty quickly. What if 2024 does NOT play out as "healthy" trajectory? What if it the big-league season regresses? Chapman, Hoskins and Tauchman hit .205, .220, and .230? Maybe the new relievers prove as un-helpful as Fulmer and Boxberger? Leiter pitches like September? Wesneski, Palencia, Little, Ben Brown stay as wild, and PCA and Alcantara regress? What if we're 10 games under come June, and 20 by September?
If so, wouldn't surprise me if Ricketts doesn't see Hoyer differently, *IF* both Cubs and farm look lots worse next season? As reb notes, things are unpredictable, so who knows?
Sure hope it doesn't roll that direction, though. I'm an optimist, and think there is good reason to figure that things will progress in a favorable trajectory.