Author Topic: Hot Stove  (Read 33669 times)

CUBluejays

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #30 on: November 17, 2023, 02:55:01 pm »
Are you talking about the same owner who approved of dumping a first year manager for Joe and then dumping a Cub hero for Craig? 

It has been 12 years since Tom fired/didn't extend Hendry and hired Theo.  Jed is 30 games under five hundred as the Cubs GM and has 0 playoff appearances.  Like why isn't Jed on the hot seat? 

Reb

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #31 on: November 17, 2023, 04:01:18 pm »
It has been 12 years since Tom fired/didn't extend Hendry and hired Theo.  Jed is 30 games under five hundred as the Cubs GM and has 0 playoff appearances.  Like why isn't Jed on the hot seat?

Yeah, you mean that Hoyer is now tied with Theo—at three seasons— for non-playoff appearances at start of Head of BB Ops tenure.

If three seasons is a lifetime…then not good in either case. But, good things happened thereafter under Theo. If doesn’t happen under Hoyer going forward, then he’ll be on the hot seat.

Until then, some of us will be watching Cubs baseball to see how it turns out.

craig

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #32 on: November 17, 2023, 04:28:18 pm »
Does anybody really believe that Ricketts would pull a Hoyer?  I have a hard time believing that Tom would show up at Hoyer's house and let him go if there was a Counsell level baseball executive that was a free agent.  Short of Theo wanting to come back I think this is Jed's job until he doesn' want it any more.

This will be Hoyer's 4th season.  Hoyer called it a "healthy" situation.  He must have emphasized that (persuasively) to Counsell, who repeatedly used "healthy" to describe the Cubs scenario.  I suspect Ricketts sees it that way as well.   

These last two winters, it's been understandable to perceive progress.  They finished 2022 strongly.  Then this year won more games, had a fun and competitive summer, were in the playoff race before the September collapse, and the farm system is now well respected with significant prospects nearing graduation.  I think it's appropriate to see the arrow pointing up in a healthy way.

But yeah, trajectory perceptions can change pretty quickly.  What if 2024 does NOT play out as "healthy" trajectory?  What if it the big-league season regresses?  Chapman, Hoskins and Tauchman hit .205, .220, and .230?  Maybe the new relievers prove as un-helpful as Fulmer and Boxberger?  Leiter pitches like September?  Wesneski, Palencia, Little, Ben Brown stay as wild, and PCA and Alcantara regress?   What if we're 10 games under come June, and 20 by September? 

If so, wouldn't surprise me if Ricketts doesn't see Hoyer differently, *IF* both Cubs and farm look lots worse next season?  As reb notes, things are unpredictable, so who knows? 

Sure hope it doesn't roll that direction, though.  I'm an optimist, and think there is good reason to figure that things will progress in a favorable trajectory. 


« Last Edit: November 17, 2023, 04:30:13 pm by craig »

CUBluejays

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #33 on: November 17, 2023, 05:09:03 pm »
Just to be clear, Hoyer took over a team that made the playoffs for 5 years.  Tanked the team and didn’t get 1 top 10 prospect in baseball and has pushed them up to the luxury tax and has an 83 win team in a bad division to show for it. 

The Brewers might tank and you can’t look at the Cubs and go this division is theirs.  How healthy or upward trajectory do the Cubs really have?  If they were in the East or West they would be an afterthought.  Goc, I’ve become Jeff.
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Deeg

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #34 on: November 17, 2023, 05:52:19 pm »
Are you talking about the same owner who approved of dumping a first year manager for Joe and then dumping a Cub hero for Craig? 

Different as chalk and cheese.  Hoyer is the vehicle for Ricketts' mantra of financial small ball.  Basically it would be like Ricketts firing himself.

Reb

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #35 on: November 17, 2023, 07:12:07 pm »
Just to be clear, Hoyer took over a team that made the playoffs for 5 years.  Tanked the team and didn’t get 1 top 10 prospect in baseball and has pushed them up to the luxury tax and has an 83 win team in a bad division to show for it. 

The Brewers might tank and you can’t look at the Cubs and go this division is theirs.  How healthy or upward trajectory do the Cubs really have?  If they were in the East or West they would be an afterthought.  Goc, I’ve become Jeff.

A “top 10 prospect in baseball?”  How often do guys like that get traded?  A very strange litmus test benchmark.

At this point, looks like Hoyer did a nice job in acquiring prospect talent in exchange for Cubs pending free agents. Fangraphs has Cubs at #1 in majors in its team Prospect Rankings. Is that good enough for you?

davep

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #36 on: November 17, 2023, 07:15:55 pm »
Just to be clear, Hoyer took over a team that made the playoffs for 5 years.  Tanked the team and didn’t get 1 top 10 prospect in baseball and has pushed them up to the luxury tax and has an 83 win team in a bad division to show for it. 

The Brewers might tank and you can’t look at the Cubs and go this division is theirs.  How healthy or upward trajectory do the Cubs really have?  If they were in the East or West they would be an afterthought.  Goc, I’ve become Jeff.

For some reason, you seem to think that the future is next year, and ends sometime in November, if not before.  Many people would look at the fact that the farm system is ranked as one of the top 5 in all of baseball (and one ranked them as the best in baseball) as a strong upward trajectory, even though many of their top prospects are not ready to hit their peak by next April.

You mention that Hoyer took over a team that made the playoffs for 5 years, but for some reason didn't mention that that team was about to have their 4 best players enter free agency in the next two year, and that the older players such as Arietta and Zobrist were done for, and had not been replaced.


CUBluejays

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #37 on: November 17, 2023, 07:31:35 pm »
Swanson, the Cubs highest paid player, is a 30 year old defensive SS with a league average bat.  That doesn’t have a great shelf life.  They already wasted what is likely to be his best year as a Cub.  But f they aren’t trying to win, what is the point of signing him?

Hoyer decided the tank was done.  The team wasn’t in a 2014 place where the talent was coming.  You can be me and think that it was stopped to sell tickets and Marquee subscriptions or because it was the right baseball move.  The Cubs have a limited pathway to get from 83 wins to better.  The farm system isn’t going to lift them.  Hoyer choose a tank instead of keeping part of the car, he should have finished it.

JeffH

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #38 on: November 17, 2023, 07:41:44 pm »
Bubba, the **** "car" was broken.  Every single part pf it.  Which part would you have salvaged?

CUBluejays

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #39 on: November 17, 2023, 07:45:41 pm »
Keep tanking.  The Cubs would have been better offf.  Now it is a Hail Mary to sign Ohtani.

Dave23

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #40 on: November 19, 2023, 03:35:53 pm »
Morosi reporting that the Braves are a top suitor for Sonny Gray…
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Dave23

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #41 on: November 20, 2023, 10:59:09 am »
Reynaldo Lopez to Atlanta…3 years, 30 million…

brjones

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #42 on: November 20, 2023, 11:20:28 am »
The Braves might try to use Lopez as a starter depending on how the rest of their offseason goes.

Lance Lynn back to the Cardinals for 1 year, $10 million.

CUBluejays

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #43 on: November 21, 2023, 04:26:09 pm »
FWIW  Locked on Cubs Podcast

Matt Cozzi
@matt_cozzi
·
48m
I’m hearing the Cubs have talked to the Blue Jays about Bo Bichette, who would play 3B for the Cubs. This was first hinted at by @KFidds yesterday and @jonmorosi mentioned the Cubs interest in Bichette last year. Bichette is signed through 2025 and would cost big return.

KFidds is followed by the Cubs bloggers.

CurtOne

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #44 on: November 21, 2023, 04:30:54 pm »
They lost Chapman, why would they trade Bichette?