Author Topic: On The Farm  (Read 324354 times)

craig

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10815 on: November 03, 2022, 03:56:33 pm »
Jeff, this is question from out of the context of this thread.  But in terms of the impact of the shift, which kinds of hitters do you think will benefit most from no-shift rules?  I don't know how to think about it. 

*Schwarber, 125 GB in 577 AB per Fangraphs, with 39% GB rate. 
*Rivas, 80 GB in 251 AB.  Rivas would have prorate to 184 GB to Schwarbers 125 given Schwarber's 577 AB.   

I've kinda been picturing the slow slugging lefty being the biggest beneficiary, the Schwarber and Rizzo type.  But Scharber resolves so many PA via K/W/HR, and then so many of the others by balls in the air, that maybe no-shift won't benefit guys like that as substantially as the more contact-oriented GB-oriented Rivas types? 

It should help lefties of all styles, though, that's for sure.  If a ground-ball-avoiding guy like Schwarber still hits 125, for sure some of those are going to go for hits. 

A stocky, slow lefty like Moises B might be especially benefited.  I assume he projects as a pretty good contact hitter, if he's going to make it.  Might be a lot easier for him to shoot balls past two infielders on the dirt compared to three infielders scattered variable deep on the grass. 

JeffH

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10816 on: November 03, 2022, 04:06:08 pm »
Quickly off the top of my head, I'm thinking the biggest impact will come from guys having to be on the dirt rather than two guys on each side of the bag.  Hard hit grounders that are able to be cut off because of the angle guys get from playing deeper is a killer.

So, to answer your question in a greatly oversimplified way, guys who hit grounders with high exit velocities.
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craig

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10817 on: November 03, 2022, 04:13:16 pm »
Agree that the "dirt" aspect is much more significant than the shift aspect. 

CurtOne

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10818 on: November 03, 2022, 04:44:16 pm »
And if the infield is artificial or real grass

method

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10819 on: November 03, 2022, 04:47:53 pm »
Quickly off the top of my head, I'm thinking the biggest impact will come from guys having to be on the dirt rather than two guys on each side of the bag.  Hard hit grounders that are able to be cut off because of the angle guys get from playing deeper is a killer.

So, to answer your question in a greatly oversimplified way, guys who hit grounders with high exit velocities.

Agree 100%. IF not playing deep will have a much bigger impact.

craig

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10820 on: November 04, 2022, 04:35:13 pm »
Mervis hit 6th HR today, again off a lefty.  Entering today he was 12th in AFL OPS, 43rd in OBP.  With only 5K/3BB in 51 AB, he's putting the ball in play a lot. 

davep

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10821 on: November 04, 2022, 06:17:26 pm »
I'm sorry, but if Bleacher Nation and a couple of others insist on calling him "Mash Mervis", I am going to have to officially root against his reaching the majors.

guest405

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10822 on: November 04, 2022, 08:58:23 pm »
It is terrible.

JeffH

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10823 on: November 05, 2022, 07:35:35 am »
"Now batting...'Never Nervous' Matt Mervis, ready to serve us."
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Ron

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10824 on: November 05, 2022, 08:17:31 am »
Much better.

JeffH

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10825 on: November 06, 2022, 04:57:56 pm »
Mervis homered in the Fall Stars Game.

Deeg

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10826 on: November 06, 2022, 05:42:00 pm »
First two words could be a hotkey.


JeffH

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10828 on: November 15, 2022, 09:15:10 am »
Over/under on how many Cubs minor leaguers are added to the Cubs' 40-man roster today: 3.5

Over/under on how many players from other organizations are added to the Cubs' 40-man roster today: 0.5

CUBluejays

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #10829 on: November 15, 2022, 09:27:10 am »
Under
Over