Author Topic: On The Farm  (Read 413721 times)

davep

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13710 on: November 11, 2024, 04:11:07 pm »
If Hoerner is not ready to start the season, I hope that they bring up Triantos, assuming they think he is reasonably ready.  Any success at all at the MLB level would raise his trade value substantially. 

Reb

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13711 on: November 11, 2024, 07:08:03 pm »
This is the BA scouting report on Triantos.

Scouting Report: Triantos has made his name as one of the better contact hitters in the minor leagues. With a game that is predicated on his ability to make contact, he hits a variety of pitch types consistently and handles velocity well. He has a plus hit tool and shows the ability to manipulate the barrel and make flush contact with a variety of pitch types and locations. Triantos has fringe-average raw power and below-average game power. His linear bat path leads to lots of grounders and more liners than fly balls on his best-struck drives. An above-average straight-line runner, Triantos maximizes his speed on the basepaths by getting excellent jumps, as evidenced by 47 steals in 56 attempts in 2024. Triantos has developed into an above-average fielder at second base. He has cleaned up his footwork, jumps and actions. His above-average arm plays at any spot on the infield.

The Future: Triantos is a hit-over-power second baseman with speed on the basepaths. While he’ll never put up big slugging numbers, he can impact the game with his contact skills, speed and glove. Triantos will likely return to Triple-A Iowa to begin 2025. A big league callup might not be far off.

Scouting Grades Hit: 60 | Power: 40 | Run: 55 | Fielding: 55 | Arm: 55

Reb

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13712 on: November 11, 2024, 07:14:16 pm »
Tommy Birch has said that Matt Shaw is much better defensively at 3B than at 2B. So, perhaps Cubs future might be Triantos at 2B and Shaw at 3B——and Cam Smith in a corner OF spot.

In any case, here is BA on Shaw’s defense.

In the field, Shaw has seen time at multiple positions. Drafted as a shortstop, Shaw saw more time at third base in 2024, starting 63 games at the hot corner. Shaw is a fringe-average defender at third and, due to his lack of arm strength, is likely only a fill-in at shortstop. Though he showed above-average range at third, his actions can look awkward. He lacks the natural arm strength typical of third basemen, but his athleticism and quick release allow him to make many plays that less nimble infielders do not make.

Fanzone

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13713 on: November 11, 2024, 07:42:19 pm »
Tommy Birch has said that Matt Shaw is much better defensively at 3B than at 2B. So, perhaps Cubs future might be Triantos at 2B and Shaw at 3B——and Cam Smith in a corner OF spot.

In trying to scope out the Cubs' future, I was assuming that Shaw could be an offensive force at 2B.  If he can't play a decent 2B, I'm wondering whether his best use would be as trade bait for a cost-controlled pitcher or catcher.  (I'm assuming that he has considerably more value than Triantos.)  It would obviously come down to the Cubs' internal evaluations of Smith and Shaw, but if Shaw's deficiencies at 2B push Smith to the outfield, his bat would have to be really good to outweigh what the Cubs might get for Shaw.   

craig

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13714 on: November 11, 2024, 09:02:07 pm »
I wonder if we don't sometimes underestimate the value of defensive experience, and the time it can take to master a new position? 

Shaw played SS in college and below.  This year he played only 24 games at 2B (64 games 3B, 24 at SS).  If he's played only 24 games at 2B, maybe that's why he didn't look as good there?  But maybe if he plays and practices and focuses there, he'll improve quickly? 

Heh heh, maybe I'm going to be a Cubbie Koolaid guy, and make Triantos my new model!  Maybe lots of guys can lock in and become decent defenders *if* they are ever allowed to lock into one position for a full year? 

craig

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13715 on: November 11, 2024, 09:08:17 pm »
Will be interesting to see what they do with both of those guys moving forward.  Some possibles:
1.  Now that he's gotten a handle on 2B, might improvements Triantos has made perhaps carry over to improvements at 3B?  Might next year's Triantos get developed as a 2B/3B utility guy? 
2.  Might Shaw's best path likewise be as a 3B/2B utility guy, with some SS as well?  Maybe next year he should get a bunch more work at both 2B and 3B,so that he can develop into a major-league-adequate utility guy at both spots?   

ben

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13716 on: November 11, 2024, 09:10:32 pm »
Craig, it seems like it's hard to project what an extremely hard-working 21-year old athlete (as Triantos) might develop into as a hitter.

This is by no means a comparison to the GREAT Hall-of-Famer, Ryne Sandberg, but as a 21 y.o. in AAA, in 519 ABs Ryno hit 17 2B, 5 3B and 9 HRs. (he was called up to Phil. by end of year).

In 443 ABs this year, Triantos hit 23 2B, 6 3B and 7 HRs. (and stole 47 bags to Ryno's 32 in his 21 y.o. and last minor season).

As we all know, Ryno was taught by manager Jim Frey how to turn on pitches and pull the ball with more power. Can Triantos make some adjustment that will unlock 20+ HR power? Maybe. 21 y.o. is still awfully young for a pro hitter.

Ryno was taller (listed at 6'2, 180), whereas Triantos lists at 5'11, 195. (Alex Bregman is listed at 6'0, 180 and admits he's not 6' tall and, by the way, in A and A+ as a 21 y.o. in the minors, Bregman hit 4 HRs in 272 ABs...and a whole lot more since then)

Nico H. has similar dimensions to Triantos and hasn't yet unlocked more power. Maybe Triantos won't, but maybe he will make an adjustment that unlocks more power or add a few feet of carry as he grows into his fully-developed man muscles. 

I do hope Cubs don't let him go based on the assumption that he will never hit for power!  As he's becoming a plus fielder at 2B, Triantos sure looks like he has MAJOR upside to me.

Dave23

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13717 on: November 11, 2024, 09:15:35 pm »
I know Triantos was drafted as a SS, but I thought early reports were that his arm wouldn’t play there…but BA referred to his arm as “above average”…

So why couldn't he be a Zobrist type?
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craig

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13718 on: November 11, 2024, 09:21:36 pm »
... perhaps Cubs future might be Triantos at 2B and Shaw at 3B——and Cam Smith in a corner OF spot. ...

Yeah, that's an interesting one!  One of many!  I kinda prefer the idea of Smith being good enough for 3b, and sticking and locking in there.  (If his defense can allow).  So maybe one scenario would be Smith-Dansby-Triantos, with Shaw as utility. 

I admit I'd really love to have a utility flex guy who can hit.  Kinda hoping one or the other of Shaw/Triantos could end up in that role?  Given that Shaw has more SS experience, and more power, I'd kinda love it to be him.

Reb

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13719 on: November 11, 2024, 10:41:22 pm »
I wonder if we don't sometimes underestimate the value of defensive experience, and the time it can take to master a new position?….

Perhaps that will happen with Cam Smith as a 3B defensively?

BA report says: “He is a below-average defender at third base and will get out of sync with his hands, actions and footwork at times. Still, Smith’s plus arm allows him to make plays at third, and he could fit in an outfield corner as well…..Questions about his future defensive position persist, but his above-average bat should be a fit anywhere on the diamond.”

Just give him a full season at 3B and see how he progresses.

craig

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13720 on: November 11, 2024, 10:56:52 pm »
100% agree.  Give Smith the full year at 3b-only and see how he progresses.  Absolutely. 

With Smith being a guy who was already hitting in AA by the season end, part of me wonders whether he might reach the majors before next season ends, or else during 2026. But I have to remind myself that only two years ago he'd never played even a college game yet. 

He's only two seasons out of high school.  Give him some time, maybe he'll improve and be good at 3B. 

Thanks for sharing those defensive analyses, reb.  I hadn't really heard anything on Cam since the draft, so reading the reports is really helpful. 

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Reb

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13721 on: November 12, 2024, 12:12:13 am »
……Might Shaw's best path likewise be as a 3B/2B utility guy, with some SS as well?  Maybe next year he should get a bunch more work at both 2B and 3B,so that he can develop into a major-league-adequate utility guy at both spots?   

Dave23 mentioned Triantos as a possible “Zobrist type” but agree with Craig that Shaw is the better candidate to be a multi-position guy in Zobrist mold.

Let’s say Cubs get really super lucky and Triantos and Smith pan out at 2B and 3B. Then, Shaw could be ideal as a guy playing most every day, somewhere. Zobrist got 600 PAs numerous years playing different positions in a season. Zobrist even had about 80 starts at SS over course of three seasons in his early 30s. Yeah, unusual for a plus hitter—if Shaw does that—to be used that way but we know how valuable Zobrist was doing that.

Reb

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13722 on: November 12, 2024, 12:48:36 am »
BA has Alcantara at #5 and notes his “all-star upside.”

Yeah, arguably, can make the case that Alcantara has the highest ceiling of all Cubs top prospects.

Defensively, BA says “Alcantara is a plus defender in center field with an above-average arm.”

Still, seems like he might be most likely prospect to be traded if Cubs make a big trade.

A plus CF defender with an above-average arm should be playing CF, not a corner. With rare exceptions, that’s what happens in baseball. With Cubs, Alcantara is a corner guy.

Yeah, it’s a very significant risk to trade Alcantara. If do that, better be part of a deal for a very significant player coming back.

Trading Zyhir Hope was a risk. Seems like Hope will be moving waaaaay up the top prospect lists during 2025 but Cubs got a significant guy back in that deal.

Fanzone

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13723 on: November 12, 2024, 08:10:35 am »
Reb:

Regarding Alcantara and CF defense.  One of my favorite teams back in the day was Oakland when they had three CFs in the outfield: Murphy, Henderson and Armas.   

davep

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #13724 on: November 12, 2024, 10:44:03 am »
Tommy Birch has said that Matt Shaw is much better defensively at 3B than at 2B. So, perhaps Cubs future might be Triantos at 2B and Shaw at 3B——and Cam Smith in a corner OF spot.

In any case, here is BA on Shaw’s defense.

He lacks the natural arm strength typical of third basemen, but his athleticism and quick release allow him to make many plays that less nimble infielders do not make.

Sounds a little like Madrigal as far as defense is concerned.