Author Topic: On The Farm  (Read 324308 times)

Reb

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7485 on: June 04, 2020, 01:13:50 am »
Here’s a comp BA did a couple weeks ago between Mitchell and Zac Veen—HS OFer who Keith Law has going #4 overall.

Hitting: Mitchell’s pure bat-to-ball skills are superior to Veen’s, but Veen’s swing is looser and more fluid than Mitchell’s has ever been. While Veen might have more swing-and-miss in his game, his hitting upside is a tick higher. EDGE: VEEN.

Power: Both Mitchell and Veen have similar raw power, though Veen comes with a still projectable 6-foot-5, 200-pound frame that should add more weight in the future. The bigger separator is that Veen’s swing has plenty of leverage to tap into his power in games right now, while Mitchell has a long track record of struggling to get to his during games, dating back to his time in high school. EDGE: VEEN.

Speed: This category isn’t close. Mitchell is one of the best runners in the entire draft class. He’s a legitimate 80-grade runner now and he was a legitimate 80-grade runner in high school, with terrific ability to get out of the lefthanded batter’s box, steal bases and track down balls in the outfield. Veen is more of an average runner who could slow down as he fills out. EDGE: MITCHELL.

Fielding: Because of Mitchell’s speed, he’s a good bet to stick in center field, where he has plus defensive potential at a premium position and can track fly balls down in the gaps. Veen is an average defender who will move to a corner in pro ball. EDGE: MITCHELL.

Arm: While Veen has a solid arm that has above-average potential, Mitchell’s is a tick better and could allow him to handle right field if necessary. Mitchell’s arm is consistently graded as plus and gives him another weapon to go with his collection of plus raw tools. EDGE: MITCHELL

X Factor: While each player’s tool set is considerably different, their health is also a factor. Mitchell is a Type I diabetic, and while teams don’t seem to have a quantifiable way to measure the exact risk that adds to his profile, every scout knows it will be a factor in his future projection and durability. Mitchell missed only one game in the last two years at UCLA. EDGE: VEEN.

Scout's take on Veen: "I see no reason he shouldn't hit a lot. And no reason he shouldn't drive the ball a lot as he continues to add strength ... Pretty swing, really good leverage, natural loft in the stroke. And you just look at the body and think, 'Geez, he's not there yet.'"

Scout's take on Mitchell: "Might be the best player I've ever scouted. Take away the diabetic aspect and he could be (drafted) 1-1. Stays in center field, plus defender, plus arm, 80 run times on turns ... zero effort."

Deeg

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7486 on: June 04, 2020, 01:36:37 am »
Oops, I misremembered.  At 16 he certainly looks a lot less of a reach (if he's still on the board).

CUBluejays

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7487 on: June 04, 2020, 10:05:49 am »
Mitchell has only 6 HR's in his 3 college seasons. 

He has raw power with a line drive swing. He seems like a perfect candidate for the Cubs new hitting infrastructure.

Dave, Santo did have diabetes. The treatments are better than when he played, but it can still cause issues.

JR

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7488 on: June 04, 2020, 10:21:53 am »
Mitchell has only 6 HR's in his 3 college seasons. 

Man, craig isn't even waiting for us to draft him this time before he gives out the Nitro Nic treatment!

jacey1

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7489 on: June 04, 2020, 12:27:25 pm »
Mitchell has top 10 talent. He also has Type 1 diabetes and he might need a swing change to tap into his power.
For some reason this reminds me of Brett Jackson

CUBluejays

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7490 on: June 04, 2020, 12:54:41 pm »
For some reason this reminds me of Brett Jackson

Every prospect can fail, but Jackson had a 24.3% K% in College including a 30% rate in his junior year.  Mitchell has a 15.3% K% in college and his his 73 PA as a junior it was 4%.  They both played in the Pac-10 and Mitchell's sophmore OPS was higher than any of Jackson's OPS in college despite Mitchell playing with the throttled bats.  The Cubs development team is also a ton better now than when Jackson played.  Could the Cubs improve Jackson's swing so he made enough contact to be useful?  That would be interesting.  Seeing what they could do with Josh Vitters would be a more fun what if.

It isn't a guarantee that Mitchell is a stud, but he'd be reallllllly interesting at 16.
« Last Edit: June 04, 2020, 12:56:58 pm by CUBluejays »
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craig

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7491 on: June 04, 2020, 01:31:42 pm »
Man, craig isn't even waiting for us to draft him this time before he gives out the Nitro Nic treatment!

JR, speaking of Nitro Nic, my daughter Nitro Nicole has had T1 diabetes for 6 years now, and I've had it since kindergarten.  (Heh heh, and Brandon Morrow has it, too.) 

I don't think Mitchell's T1 is really a showstopper.  There are a lot of resources for T1 care for people who are able to put them to best advantage. 

That said, I think the life of a big-league baseball star is probably more challenging for T1's than most lifestyles.  Managing T1 is easier with lifestyle control and consistency; if I get up at around the same time, eat meals at regular times, etc., it's easier to manage blood sugars and avoid the fluctuations that result in issues short-term and long-term. 

As a pro athlete, that's harder, with the travel, for a Cub with day games and night games.   With so much eating out instead of planning and preparing your own meals, where you can both plan and dose insulin appropriately.  And as of course Jeff Horn will appreciate, a 1st-round millionaire will have lots of opportunities for late nights with wine-women-and-song that are not necessarily conducive to well-controlled diabetes.  And for sure there will have to either be AB's that are compromised by low-blood sugar, or else to avoid ever risking that you run too high too often which has unhelpful consequences. 

But it's a totally different world from Ron Santo.  He had no access to a continuous glucose monitor that Mitchell will have, and even apart from CGM, Santo didn't have access to finger-prick or arm-prick blood-tests between innings.  Even if he doesn't wear CGM, (which he will), Mitchell would still have opportunity to do a blood test during any inning in which he doesn't bat, and to swallow some carbs as needed if his blood glucose test indicates impending risk of running low. 

*IF* Mitchell's smart and responsible (many T1's are neither), he should be able to work around T1 such that it has limited negative impact on his baseball career. 

Reb

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7492 on: June 04, 2020, 04:38:57 pm »
Mayo at Pipeline in new mock also has Cubs taking Mitchell at #16.

Doesn’t seem like Law or Mayo have any real inside dope about Cubs interest in Mitchell but more of a deduction.

https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-mock-draft-june-3

Reb

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7493 on: June 04, 2020, 04:43:42 pm »
BA new mock has Mitchell gone at #14 (to Texas) and Cubs taking HS OFer Austin Hendrick at #16.

Deeg

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7494 on: June 04, 2020, 07:01:33 pm »
Personally I'm hoping Hendrick or Soderstrom slip to #16 and we nab one of them.

chgojhawk

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7495 on: June 05, 2020, 07:56:56 pm »
Something that I am certain will be considered very important by exactly nobody on this board......Mitchell’s girlfriend is Haley Cruse who is a Twitter sensation due to her dancing while starring as an OF for the Oregon Ducks softball team.

CurtOne

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7496 on: June 05, 2020, 08:55:01 pm »
Got any naked pictures?
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davep

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7497 on: June 05, 2020, 09:17:36 pm »
Of who?

dallen7908

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7498 on: June 06, 2020, 12:46:36 pm »
Prospects 74-78 (Oscar deLaCruz and Chad Hockin have been released)

Wyatt Short          0   0   0   4.5   0   00   07   0   0   0   0   00   11.5
Tyler Schlaffer       0   0   0   00   0   11   00   0   0   0   0   00   11
DJ Herz                0   0   0   00   0   04   00   0   0   0   0   6.5   10.5
Yonathan Perlaza   0   0   0   00   0   00   10   0   0   0   0   00   10
Luis Rodriguez      0   0   0   00   0   00    0   10   0   0   0   00   10

Wyatt opened 2019 in AA where he pitched well posting 54/18 K/W in 49 IP with 0.223 BA and 1 HRA; promoted to PCL where he got shelled (12/8 K/W in 8 IP with 0.313 BAA with 2 HRA).  Lefties batted 0.179 (0.556) off of him in AA(AAA) 

Tyler's is a RHP drafted out of an Illinois HS in 2019.  His FB touches 95 and as a HS senior he had 91 K's in 53 innings 

DJ Herz is a LHP drafted out of a NC HS in 2019.  "Everyone's" sleeper; his FB sits in the mid 90s - still working on his command

Yonathan is a 3B/2B/LF utility player who posted a solid 0.768 OPS in the NWL but struggled in the MWL (0.667 OPS)

Luis was selected to 2018 DSL all star team.  In 2019 he posted a 44/24 K/W in 48 AZL IP as a right handed starter.



Bluebufoon

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Re: On The Farm
« Reply #7499 on: June 07, 2020, 11:35:00 am »
Baseball America has a new story up about who the top International prospects are for the July signing period but its behind a paywall— can I get an assist from someone with a subscription to BA ? Thanks