Author Topic: Predictions  (Read 47578 times)

brjones

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #120 on: January 25, 2013, 04:24:41 pm »
Still too soon to say for sure.

Dave23

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Predictions
« Reply #121 on: January 25, 2013, 05:27:34 pm »
78-84

Eastcoastfan

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #122 on: January 26, 2013, 10:36:53 am »
BR, when you know for sure I'll by the two of us tickets to Vegas.  :)

brjones

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #123 on: January 26, 2013, 10:47:01 am »
This Fangraphs analysis currently has the Cubs in the 77-79 win range, with about a 3% chance of winning 91 games.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/cubs-sign-scott-hairston/

Jes Beard

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #124 on: January 26, 2013, 11:44:24 am »
This Fangraphs analysis currently has the Cubs in the 77-79 win range, with about a 3% chance of winning 91 games.

A pretty good indication that the folks are Fangraphs don't know what they are writing about.

Cactus

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #125 on: January 26, 2013, 12:38:43 pm »
It’s too soon to be pinned down to a specific number for 2013 so for now I’ll say the Cubs will win more than 61 games and fewer than 81 in 2013.
I propose that official predictions be made in the ten day period before the season opens on April 1.

Robert L

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #126 on: January 26, 2013, 08:02:40 pm »
77

guest61

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #127 on: January 26, 2013, 08:42:41 pm »
They look to me about like a 76-86 team.

Deeg

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #128 on: January 27, 2013, 12:08:32 am »
This would be a good time to buy stock in Kool-aid, apparently.

guest61

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #129 on: January 27, 2013, 11:01:54 am »
Me saying they're a sub .500 team means Im drinking kool-aid? I dont think so. They're quite a bit better than they were last year.

Jes Beard

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #130 on: January 27, 2013, 11:54:04 am »
Me saying they're a sub .500 team means Im drinking kool-aid? I dont think so. They're quite a bit better than they were last year.

Thinking the Cubs are likely to finish within 5 games of .500 likely does.  Last year they had four starters who either performed at ace level for much of the first half of the season, or (in Garza's case) were quite reasonably expected to perform at that level.... and yet they stunk.

This years starting rotation does not have four starters who you would expect to perform as well as Maholm/Garza/Smarz/Dempster did the first half of 2012.  And when two of them did well, they were traded, and if Garza had stayed healthy, he also would have been.

You can expect the same thing in 2013.

And while the Cubs are not likely to give quite so many AB in 2013 as they did to outmakers like Jackson and Vitters, they also are very unlikely to get close to the production out of Soriano they got in 2012.

This team is very unlikely to even sniff at .500 by season's end.

Jes Beard

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #131 on: January 27, 2013, 12:38:25 pm »
Disagreement = being a dickhead.

Welcome to jiggyland.

Playtwo

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #132 on: January 27, 2013, 02:53:50 pm »
Disagreeing doesn't preclude one from being a dickhead.

Jes Beard

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #133 on: January 27, 2013, 06:06:36 pm »
Play, that is certainly true, but can you look at my post and tell me what in it might meet Jiggy's  description, a description he seems not to even have had the stones to leave up?

Playtwo

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #134 on: January 27, 2013, 07:10:17 pm »
I don't see anything obnoxious in that particular post.