Author Topic: Predictions  (Read 47538 times)

OkieCubsFan

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #465 on: March 28, 2016, 01:43:42 pm »
103

Eastcoastfan

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #466 on: March 28, 2016, 04:37:39 pm »
98

Bennett

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #467 on: March 28, 2016, 04:47:59 pm »
Disregarding the three frivolous predictions, the average of the 21 predictions so far is 95.4

Ron

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #468 on: March 28, 2016, 05:10:27 pm »
Disregarding the three frivolous predictions, the average of the 21 predictions so far is 95.4

Expectations are certainly high, even among those who are normally pretty cranky about the Cubs. Lots of potential for disappointment it seems.  While I don't make specific W-L predictions, I am confident that the Cubs are going to have a very good team, provide lots of excitement and at least get into the playoffs, whatever else happens. Fingers are crossed for much more.

Bennett

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #469 on: March 28, 2016, 05:38:59 pm »
Expectations are certainly high, even among those who are normally pretty cranky about the Cubs. Lots of potential for disappointment it seems.  While I don't make specific W-L predictions, I am confident that the Cubs are going to have a very good team, provide lots of excitement and at least get into the playoffs, whatever else happens. Fingers are crossed for much more.
The 95.4 average is less than last year's win total of 97.


PRCubFan

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #470 on: March 28, 2016, 05:59:55 pm »
I'll go with 94 wins.  A lot went right last year including Arrieta's unbelievable 2nd half where he pretty much won every time he took the mound so I expect our record to be a little worse.  But, I think 94 will be enough to win the division. 

I also think we'll definitely trade for a top 3 starter at the deadline to push Lackey to number 4 in the potential playoff rotation. 

AZSteve

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #471 on: March 28, 2016, 07:26:28 pm »
97-65 deja vu all over again

craig

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #472 on: April 04, 2016, 07:27:02 am »
91

AndyMacFAIL

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #473 on: April 04, 2016, 04:59:25 pm »
91


You're too damn late as the season started yesterday as three games were completed. 

craig's prediction shouldn't count.  >:(  I'm gonna sue if it ends up winning. [/DonaldJ.Trump]


davep

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #474 on: April 04, 2016, 06:03:25 pm »
And Al Gore.

Bennett

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #475 on: April 23, 2016, 08:50:47 am »
The Cubs pace of a 124 win season may be a little hard to sustain but my prediction of 93 wins isn't looking very good.

OkieCubsFan

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #476 on: April 23, 2016, 12:35:51 pm »
The Cubs' current Pythagorean ratio would translate to 143 wins.  So they're under-performing expectations so far.  Fire Maddon.

CurtOne

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #477 on: April 23, 2016, 12:42:51 pm »
The Cubs' current Pythagorean ratio would translate to 143 wins.  So they're under-performing expectations so far.  Fire Maddon.
I agree.  I said 162-0.  I've been in the Fire Maddon camp since loss 1.

Jes Beard

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #478 on: April 23, 2016, 01:09:07 pm »
The Cubs will win 93 games in 2016.
I predict 95 wins and a division winner.
102 wins.
I had 101 last year.  I am going 125 this year.    ;D
14
I liked 93, but it's taken so I'll say 92.
I'll say 100 exactly.
And the Cardinals finish .500 or worse.
105
86 games miss playoffs.
I'm ashamed of all of you.  Win totals implies that they are going to lose some.  Not so.  I predict 162-0, sweep the first playoff series 3-0, sweep the second series, 4-0, win the first three of the World Series, and then lose 4 straight.  Why?  Cuz, we're the Cubs, that's why.
98
92
Ill say 100-62.  The playoffs will depend on health, surprises, and how active we are at the deadline.
After all...you cant script October.  Ill say Rizzo is an MVP candidate, Schwarber leads the team in HRs, Soler gets traded, and Javy finally produces.

78-84
]
Last year's 248 2/3 innings takes it toll on Jake Arrieta as he falls to 16-12 with an ERA near 3.50.  The sophomore jinx claims one of Russell/Bryant/Schwarber.  Zobrist & Heyward have solid seasons but Anthony Rizzo drops to 26 HRs, 86 RBI,  .260/.356/.466 with an OPS of .823. Either Lester or Lackey spend significant time on the DL.  The Chicago Cubs finish 3rd in the NL Central, 7 games back of the Pirates, as the Cardinals pull another rabbit out of the hat to win the division.  Since it's an even number year, the San Francisco Giants win another World Series title. This time over the New York Yankees as Jeff Samardzija gets a ring.
98-64
MVP: Jason Heyward
96.
94
124-38  (damn the 1906 Cubs were good).

Really 104.
91 WINS
103
98

Disregarding the three frivolous predictions, the average of the 21 predictions so far is 95.4

I'll go with 94 wins.  A lot went right last year including Arrieta's unbelievable 2nd half where he pretty much won every time he took the mound so I expect our record to be a little worse.  But, I think 94 will be enough to win the division. 

I also think we'll definitely trade for a top 3 starter at the deadline to push Lackey to number 4 in the potential playoff rotation. 
97-65 deja vu all over again
91

By order in which the predictions were posted:
1 Bennett 93
2 Robb  95
3 Jes Beard 102
4 wmljohn  125
5 mO 14
6 Deeg 92
7 brjones 100
8 grrrrlacher 105
9 method 86
10 CurtOne 162
11 Robert L 98
12 JR 92
13 DUSTY 100
14 AndyMacFAIL 78
15 Dave23 98
16 Dihard 96
17 DelMarFan 94
18 CUBluejays 104
19 jacey1 91
20 OkieCubsFan 103
21 Eastcoastfan 98
22 PRCubFan 94
23 AZSteve 97
24 craig 91

In order of the predicted number of wins:
mO 14
AndyMacFAIL 78
method 86
craig 91
jacey1 91
JR 92
Deeg 92
Bennett 93
PRCubFan 94
DelMarFan 94
Robb  95
Dihard 96
AZSteve 97
Eastcoastfan 98
Robert L 98
Dave23 98
DUSTY 100
brjones 100
Jes Beard 102
OkieCubsFan 103
CUBluejays 104
grrrrlacher 105
wmljohn  125
CurtOne 162

Counting ALL of the predictions, the aggregate win total is 2308, dividing it by 24 the average win total is 96.167.
Taking all but the predictions of Curt (162 wins) and MO (14 wins) as serious, the average is 96.909.
Dropping AndyMcFail and wmljohn, too, (if my prediction of 102 is right, he is closer to the probable record than AndyMcFAIL is at 78 wins) the average is 96.45
The median is 96.5
The mode is 98.

And no, I do not have too much time on my hands today, though I am rather aggressively avoiding some work I have been putting off for some time now....
« Last Edit: April 23, 2016, 01:10:47 pm by Jes Beard »

Robb

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #479 on: April 23, 2016, 01:10:34 pm »
The Cubs aren't going to be playing the likes of the Reds and Cardinals all the time either.  Eventually they'll have to play some real teams.