We're probably better off long-term to be going with Belken-Germano-Rusin-Raley-Coleman, with Valbuena/Vitters at 3rd, Clevenger/Castillo at C, and Jackson in center. We might lose 140 games.
But I don't think Theo has the stomach for that. I think they'd like to get some competitive players who can get you near or over 70-wins, even if that means you draft in the Colvin area of the draft rather than the Harper/Strasburg/Arod/Griffey top.
My guess is we end up somewhere in between. Not being absolutely awful #1 pick bad, but probably still bad enough to be in the top 10. I can't remember where some of the Cub picks have been, I'm think Corey was #4, wood #3 or 4, Harvey around #6, Almora #5, Mike Harkey was #4, Ty Griffin was #12 maybe, Glanville was around #12, Earl Cunningham around #8..
Actually, this is fun, I'm going to look.
82, Dunston #1
83 Davidson #6
84 Drew Hall #3 (Greg Maddux #31)
86 Derrick May #9
87 Mike Harkey #4
88 Ty Griffin #9
89 Earl Cunningham #8
91 Doug Glanville #12
92 Derrek Wallace #11
93 Brooks Kieschnick #10
95 Kerry Wood #4
97 Jon Garland #10
98 Corey Patterson #3
00 Luis Montanez #3
01 Mark Prior #2
03 Ryan Harvey #6
06 Tyler Colvin #13
07 Josh vitters #3
11 Javier Baez #9
12 Albert Almora #6
Wow, that's pretty awesome. 14 top-ten picks in 30 years, and a pretty awesome list of very high or top-half picks that didn't do much. HOpefully the scouting and training and health care and luck will all be a lot better now and future. Eight top-4 picks over 30 years, and a 9th coming up next year, with Dunston, Wood, and Prior being the most elite (and durable?) that we produced. Wow.