Author Topic: Cubs in '12  (Read 203014 times)

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10320 on: December 06, 2012, 05:10:36 pm »
ABTY had a rumor that Cubs/Royals were discussing Barney twice yesterday.  I'll be shocked if Soriano/Barney start spring training with the Cubs and midly surprised if a healthy Garza finishes spring training with the Cubs.

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10321 on: December 06, 2012, 05:23:08 pm »
ABTY had a rumor that Cubs/Royals were discussing Barney twice yesterday.  I'll be shocked if Soriano/Barney start spring training with the Cubs and midly surprised if a healthy Garza finishes spring training with the Cubs.

Wish I were a betting man.  Neither will be gone unless the Cubs can get what they consider to be full value for them, and their assessment of value is clearly much higher than that of most people here.  I can envision Soriano getting traded much more readily than I can Barney, but I doubt either will be traded before the season starts.

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10322 on: December 06, 2012, 05:58:57 pm »
As bad as the 3B market is, the best Stewart could do is a non-guaranteed deal?  That's kind of odd. 

No one knows better than Stewart how much his wrist bothered him the last two years, and no one knows better than Stewart how he feels at this point.

It may be that he is convinced that he will be good enough that he won't be cut.

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10323 on: December 06, 2012, 05:59:20 pm »
I'll play devil's advocate for a moment here. No doubt Barney is an excellent defender. He makes smart plays, and he doesn't make mistakes. But suppose for a moment that part of his defensive excellence is due to superior positioning. At least some of that is attributable to the coaching staff, and I think we saw this kind of defensive lift for Soriano and Castro. If part of Barney's value is tied up in positioning, well, you can control that for the next guy just as easily. Obviously, it's still up to the player to catch and throw the ball, making good decisions all the while. But it may be that Barney's defensive value is overstated as a result of the coaching staff's superior work, and surplus value can be extracted in a trade as a result.
« Last Edit: December 06, 2012, 06:01:29 pm by ticohans »

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10324 on: December 06, 2012, 06:02:38 pm »
Barney went more than 140 straight games without an error, and I only remember one gift during that time.  Positioning may increase the number of chances, but it doesn't increase the ability to catch and throw.

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10325 on: December 06, 2012, 06:07:04 pm »
Stewart and Valbuena are keeping third base warm until Baez or Lake are ready.  No sense putting a lot of money into a placeholder.  I think Stewart is the best of a slim 3b bunch this year.

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10326 on: December 06, 2012, 06:15:49 pm »
First off, tico is clearly a scumbag and the spawn of all evil for his obvious hatred of Darwin Barney.

Seriously, not to deify Barney, but I think he deserves all the credit he's been getting as the best defensive 2B in baseball right now.  First, Barney did tie a major league record for most consecutive errorless games . . . and he did that while fielding more plays per 9 innings than anybody in the league.  That's excellent defense, regardless of how much Sveum's positioning has to do with it.   You're not just going to find someone who can just do that and field all of those plays cleanly, just because we play some aggressive shifts in the field.

Also, I don't think positioning is all on a coaching staff, either.  Good defensive players have a good feel for where they should position themselves on the field.  I'm sure Sveum's aggressive shifting helps play a role in that, but I think if you ask any top fielding player (guys like Ripken or Sandberg or Ozzie talk about this a lot), they all say they have good instincts for where they should position themselves on the field. Ripken and Sandberg would say that's one of the reasons why you didn't have to see them diving for balls so much because they already knew where they should be positioned on the field for a play.  I wouldn't attribute all of his good positioning on Sveum.
« Last Edit: December 06, 2012, 10:00:05 pm by JR »

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10327 on: December 06, 2012, 06:20:45 pm »
More anti-awful moves with Stewart.  Gonna be another terrible season, but at least it won't come as a surprise.  Rondon seems like an OK lottery ticket, under the circumstances.

I don't think Barney is going to be traded, namely because as one of the worst-hitting position players in the game he has nowhere near the value that some fans believe he does.  Why trade him when he's not going to bring anything substantial in return, and when he's not blocking someone better?  Maybe some contender who was an offense that can carry dead weight will have their 2B go down with an injury just before the deadline, and they'll overpay for Barney.  Otherwise, not much point in dealing him.

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10328 on: December 06, 2012, 06:23:19 pm »
ABTY had a rumor that Cubs/Royals were discussing Barney twice yesterday.  I'll be shocked if Soriano/Barney start spring training with the Cubs and midly surprised if a healthy Garza finishes spring training with the Cubs.

Garza will have more value at the end of June if he stays healthy and proves it than near the end of March when he is hoped to be healthy and simply looks it.

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10329 on: December 06, 2012, 06:27:34 pm »
I agree with everything you've said, JR. So I guess you can add ignorant slut to the colorful list of names you've used.

The point that he fielded cleanly more chances per 9 than anyone is undeniably special.

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10330 on: December 06, 2012, 06:47:16 pm »
I agree with everything you've said, JR. So I guess you can add ignorant **** to the colorful list of names you've used.

Hahaha, the problem is tico, I'm the only one here who's allowed to be called an ignorant ****. : )

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10331 on: December 06, 2012, 07:01:10 pm »
Marmol

Fujikawa

Vizcaino

Rodon

Russell

Camp

Bowden

and perhaps Zych.

That is probably worth 10 wins over last year's bull pen at the very least.

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10332 on: December 06, 2012, 07:14:04 pm »
More anti-awful moves with Stewart.  Gonna be another terrible season, but at least it won't come as a surprise.  ...

I don't think Barney is going to be traded, namely because as one of the worst-hitting position players in the game he has nowhere near the value that some fans believe he does.  Why trade him when he's not going to bring anything substantial in return, and when he's not blocking someone better?  ....not much point in dealing him.

I agree on the anti-awful, that's for sure.  Feldman, Steward, Schierholz, they won't be as bad as Jackson and Vitters and Berken, but they're not going to be asset players or anything exciting, I don't think.   They are at an age where sometimes guys do improve and transition from liability guys to useful, perhaps even average starters.  So if you create an average player out of nothing but a couple of million, that's still some value creation. 

I agree that Barney isn't likely to have enough trade value to make it much worth thinking about.  As you say, he's blocking nobody and he's not likely to haul in any exciting building blocks, so why bother? 

But, if somebody does want to trade somebody interesting, I'd certainly be interested.



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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10333 on: December 06, 2012, 07:48:51 pm »
Rumor has it that he is viewed around the league as a starter value, in the past it was more utility guy.  He is also viewed as a possible SS.  Maybe somebody won't meet the Cubs price, but I think he is undervalued here.  Soriano just fits in some many places I can't see the Cubs keeping him.  If I'm not mistaken if Garza is traded in Spring Training the new team could get a comp pick.  I'd rather keep him, but I wouldn't be shocked if he was traded either.

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Re: Cubs in '12
« Reply #10334 on: December 06, 2012, 08:31:05 pm »
Just to further my point, Ben Revere was traded for Vance Worley and Trevor May (#69 on BA).  Revere in his career has put up wOBA of .278, .300.  Bill James projects him for wOBA of .294.  He is a slightly better version on Tony Campana.  He may be a defensive whiz, but about all he does better than Barney is steal bases.  Barney has put up wOBA of .294, .287.