Author Topic: Cubs in '13 1/15/13 - 6/11/13  (Read 55393 times)

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1515 on: June 03, 2013, 03:54:47 pm »
Jackson has thrown a league-leading 7 wild pitches this year.  All seven have come in games that Navarro started.  We're probably at a point where Navarro just shouldn't catch Jackson.

I'm not sure that Wellington Castillo is really much better than Navarro but he certainly can't be worse.  Someone else suggested Steve Clevenger as his "personal catcher" once he's healthy.  I'm not sure Clevenger is all that much better, either.

Is there a free agent good-glove-league-average catcher available this off-season?

Reb

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1516 on: June 03, 2013, 05:40:08 pm »
Brian McCann.

Scroll down link a bit for list of catchers.

baseballprospectus.com

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1517 on: June 03, 2013, 06:14:50 pm »
Always liked McCann very much.  But at 30 next season as a C, he'd test Theo's resolve about only signing FAs at their peak.  He'll probably get 4-5 years, around $13-15 million per as a guess.

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1518 on: June 03, 2013, 06:46:38 pm »
Always liked McCann very much.  But at 30 next season as a C, he'd test Theo's resolve about only signing FAs at their peak.  He'll probably get 4-5 years, around $13-15 million per as a guess.

I don't think there will be any test at all.  4-5 years for McCann will be a non-starter with the Theocracy for McCann.

Reb

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1519 on: June 03, 2013, 07:55:55 pm »
Always liked McCann very much.  But at 30 next season as a C, he'd test Theo's resolve about only signing FAs at their peak.  He'll probably get 4-5 years, around $13-15 million per as a guess.

Would not surprise me at all if Theo is interested in McCann this off-season, so long as not having to give up a first-round pick to sign him (exempt with a top 10 worst record). 

Pretty obvious that the club needs some leadership on the field (and clubhouse) and a guy from a winning organization who has played on winning clubs.  (Nats did this with Jayson Werth--even though they knew the contract was a reach). Plus, other than Castillo, nobody in the system anywhere close to projecting as a #1 catcher).

Kind of doubt that McCann will get five years.  Plus, has to show that he's healthy rest of this season and medicals show that he can stay at catcher. 

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1520 on: June 03, 2013, 09:15:45 pm »
If the Braves let McCann go, that should probably be a sign that he's not worth a big contract. 

Once a catcher starts having health problems, it's probably time to stay away from him.

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1521 on: June 04, 2013, 10:03:28 am »
Bruce Miles takes a look at the good and not so good acquisitions by the Theocracy in their first year and a half:

http://www.dailyherald.com/article/20130603/sports/706039715/

The Good:  Rizzo, Wood, DeJesus, Valbeuna, Feldman

The Bad:  Fujikawa, Stewart, Jackson (and possibly Baker)

Undetermined:  Vizcaino

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1522 on: June 04, 2013, 10:06:16 am »
I thought Baker was a questionable buy from day one.  Even before he had his reinjury, Cub people didn't really seem to think he'd be ready before May if then.  Seemed like a lot of millions to pay for a late-start guy who'd be using the year for rehab.  Not every TJ guy is throwing at top efficiency the day he comes back.   

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1523 on: June 04, 2013, 10:45:33 am »
Buster Olney talks to Jed Hoyer.  That interview starts a little after the 24:30 mark.


Reb

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1524 on: June 04, 2013, 10:49:38 am »
Found his remarks about building a bullpen interesting---looking for power arms in the draft to make up future bullpen.  I'd really like to see that.

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1525 on: June 04, 2013, 11:16:06 am »
I thought Baker was a questionable buy from day one.  Even before he had his reinjury, Cub people didn't really seem to think he'd be ready before May if then.  Seemed like a lot of millions to pay for a late-start guy who'd be using the year for rehab.  Not every TJ guy is throwing at top efficiency the day he comes back.   

Rehab signings like Baker need to include a club option, and it appears the Cubs did not get one with him.

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1526 on: June 04, 2013, 01:26:35 pm »
There wasn't a club option, but I would be surprised if there wasn't a gentleman's agreement to give the Cubs extra consideration when it is time for renewal.

Of course, gentlemen's agreement only work if both sides are gentlemen.

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1527 on: June 04, 2013, 02:08:18 pm »
Speaking of Baker, do we have any idea of where he's at? 

Based on what they were saying for him in March, and how Garza went, I'd figure around two months from when he's pitching from mound, building up some velocity, building pitch count up some.  It's June now; if he isn't even throwing from a mound yet, I wonder if he has much change to work his way back to the majors before expanded rosters in September? 


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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1528 on: June 04, 2013, 04:19:43 pm »
John Arguello of Cubs Den says to cut Starlin Castro a little slack, as far as his hitting is concerned.  Along the way he says some interesting things about the difficulty of evaluation when it comes to a player who making changes or adjustments.

You'll often here me talk about process and how they often precede results.  There are always growing pains, even for a 3 year veteran like Castro -- especially when they're just 23 years old.  Especially when that player is asked to reverse lifelong habits and learn how to succeed with a new approach and adapt to a new organizational culture.  One important step in this process is an increase in the pitches Castro is seeing at the plate, from 3.46 to a career high 3.85 this season.  That is just one step, however, as it is clear that what Castro needs to learn is to take pitches with a specific purpose and develop a plan to set up pitchers.   Right now it's clearly the other way around, but it's early in the process and according to his hitting instructor James Rowson, Castro has the intelligence to eventually figure this out. ...

The problem is that measuring process is much more difficult than measuring results.  It's abstract.  It requires a certain level of comfort with uncertainty.  Results are easily defined.  Process is not.  There is no easy answer and you can sometimes be hopelessly wrong, which is the nature of the game with process-oriented analysis.  I believe that a team that can figure out how to do this well will have a competitive advantage over those that strictly measure results.

Arguello cites Samarzija, Soler and Baez as other players who have had to go through a process of change to improve results.  The same principle would presumably apply to Brett Jackson.

http://www.chicagonow.com/cubs-den/2013/06/starlin-castro-is-in-a-slump-that-is-all/
« Last Edit: June 04, 2013, 04:22:30 pm by Ron »

Reb

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Re: Cubs in '13
« Reply #1529 on: June 04, 2013, 04:35:57 pm »
I think Castro is seeing more pitches because he's fouling off a lot of pitches and getting into poor hitting counts.

I don't see improved plate discipline at all. He is now having a lot of trouble with heat up in the zone---mostly strikes.  Pitchers are making adjustments and he's going to have to adjust, if he can.

Cubs can say he's only 23 but it's very disappointing he hasn't improved offensively, considering what he did as a rookie at a ridiculously young age in the big leagues.

I guess we'll just have to be patient but I wonder if he has the baseball intelligence to make adjustments and get near his upside. An open question, I think.

Been watching Manny Machado in Baltimore and he is super smart in baseball terms.