Author Topic: Cubs in '18  (Read 171142 times)

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3510 on: August 07, 2018, 08:31:59 pm »
Impossible to answer that until we know how each guy is pitching at the time. But based on how many pen arms we theoretically have and that both Monty and Chavez are likely to be on the roster, tough to see an argument to carry that 5th SP.

My gut is that it would be Hendricks left off, unless he really picks it up or one of the other four really stinks in October (or is hurt).

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3511 on: August 07, 2018, 09:18:10 pm »
Assuming the Cubs make the playoffs (which is far from certain at this point), I think only Lester is guaranteed a spot in the postseason rotation at this point, and he's done his best for the last month or so to give that guarantee back. The next two months will determine who is starting.

It's hard for me to imagine any of Lester, Hendricks, Quintana, Darvish, or Hamels getting left off the roster completely if they're all reasonably effective and healthy. Someone like Kintzler, Wilson, or Smyly will be left off the roster so one of them can pitch out of the bullpen.
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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3512 on: August 07, 2018, 10:55:33 pm »
Nice to see Padres put up 11 and beat the Brewers, while we shut out the Royals!!  Now that's a great evening of baseball!

Let's keep it going tomorrow (as the Brewers may run the table on SD and KC the rest of this week)!!

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3513 on: August 07, 2018, 11:26:33 pm »
Assuming the Cubs make the playoffs (which is far from certain at this point), I think only Lester is guaranteed a spot in the postseason rotation at this point, and he's done his best for the last month or so to give that guarantee back. The next two months will determine who is starting.

It's hard for me to imagine any of Lester, Hendricks, Quintana, Darvish, or Hamels getting left off the roster completely if they're all reasonably effective and healthy. Someone like Kintzler, Wilson, or Smyly will be left off the roster so one of them can pitch out of the bullpen.

Let’s assume everyone is healthy. Morrow, Strop, Edwards, Cishek and Montgomery are locks. Either Wilson or Smyly is a lock, even if you don’t take both. As possibles you have whichever lefty of those two loses out, Chavez, Kintzler and Bass. With an 8 man bullpen, where does that leave room for the 5th starter?  Keeping that extra starter almost always ends one of two ways - they never pitch, or they’re a disaster (like Lackey last year). You’re basically saying you’re going to take your worst SP, who’s most likely never or rarely pitched out of the pen, and keep him instead of a reliever.  Why?

I know the board is very anti-Wilson, but while he’s obviously inconsistent and wild, he’s also the only lefty we have who’s a short reliever by trade and is tough on lefties.  He also has (successful) closing experience and he misses bats when he can find the plate.  I’d be inclined to say he’s close to a lock if he has a decent final two months.
« Last Edit: August 07, 2018, 11:28:57 pm by Deeg »

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3514 on: August 07, 2018, 11:53:08 pm »
Unless he blows up, Chavez is also a lock. He might be their best reliever right now. They have to carry a strike thrower or two--carrying mostly ball throwers didn't help them last year in the postseason.

If they're all performing reasonably well, all the starters make the roster because they're veteran starters who are getting decent results. Not saying I necessarily think that's the best move, but that is what would happen.

As bad as this rotation has been, two months is a really long time. Predicting how they'd go into the postseason (if they make it--that's still far from guaranteed) is just a wild guess at this point.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3515 on: August 08, 2018, 12:12:52 am »
Fangraphs has the Cubs playoff odds at 97.1%, winning the division at 83.7%. Both are best in the National League. It would take an epic collapse for the Cubs to not make the playoffs.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3516 on: August 08, 2018, 02:38:22 pm »
Jesse Rogers  @ESPNChiCubs  10m10 minutes ago
Tommy La Stella fouled off a pitch from Darvish off his leg and he's down and in pain.

Carrie Muskat  @CarrieMuskat   5m5 minutes ago
La Stella standing up and able to put weight on his right leg but he's done as far as the sim game goes. He's walking off. #Cubs


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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3517 on: August 08, 2018, 02:52:26 pm »
Great.  Now Darvish is hurting other players too.  That guy has it out for us.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3518 on: August 08, 2018, 06:41:26 pm »
Fortunately the sim game went better for Darvish than it did for La Stella.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3519 on: August 09, 2018, 12:14:28 am »
David Bote through first 64 AB’s: .344 BA, 22 H, 5 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR, 14 RBI, 10 BB, 17 K’s.

Kyle Schwarber through first 65 AB’s: .323 BA, 21 H, 2 2B, 1 3B, 3 HR, 12 RBI, 9 BB, 20 K’s.


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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3520 on: August 09, 2018, 12:41:31 am »
Career .229 hitter Kyle Schwarber?

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3521 on: August 09, 2018, 12:12:47 pm »
Article on Baez

Welcome to August 2018, where the Chicago Cubs have a leading National League MVP candidate who's not named Kris Bryant or Anthony Rizzo.
bleacherreport.com

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3522 on: August 09, 2018, 04:40:53 pm »
Michael Cerami

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In 2018, the #Cubs *entire* pitching staff has 6.6 WAR. In 2015, Jake Arrieta had 7.3 WAR.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3523 on: August 09, 2018, 07:14:11 pm »
It's crazy that the Cubs' starting pitching is absolute garbage and they have a 2 game lead in the division and a 2 game lead for best record in the NL.

Wild stuff.
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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #3524 on: August 10, 2018, 08:53:39 am »
Rosario is getting sent down to Iowa.