Author Topic: Cubs in '18  (Read 171151 times)

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4170 on: October 09, 2018, 12:07:42 am »
Schwarber has improved enough on defense to fool the defensive metrics into thinking he was above average for a season.  He's probably a net-neutral in left, and he walks enough and hits enough HRs that he can probably get you an .800 OPS if you platoon him.  There's value in that, especially as he's cheap with several seasons of team control.  Who knows, maybe some GM out there thinks he can catch twice a week.  I don't think he's going to fetch anything huge when he's dealt, but it should certainly be more than negligible.
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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4171 on: October 09, 2018, 12:48:10 am »
Kris Bryant says hi

Bryant's issues--not the exact ones being mentioned about Schwarber--were more than a one year phenomenon, and Bryant was an MVP. When Schwarber is deemed a savior then we can maybe make a comparison.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4172 on: October 09, 2018, 05:36:58 am »
Terry Francona is apparently in trouble in Cleveland.  Let Joe have the Angels job and snatch him up.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4173 on: October 09, 2018, 08:45:55 am »
Bryant's issues--not the exact ones being mentioned about Schwarber--were more than a one year phenomenon, and Bryant was an MVP. When Schwarber is deemed a savior then we can maybe make a comparison.

So when the stat fits my narrative it is useful, got it.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4174 on: October 09, 2018, 10:06:01 am »
Amazing that Russell and Contreras were also on that list.

I wish they had included the same list for the 2017 season.  Where would Schwarber, Russell and Contreras be on that list.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4175 on: October 09, 2018, 04:16:21 pm »
So when the stat fits my narrative it is useful, got it.

You don't have it. There is no narrative. Facts are facts. Nobody is disputing that Schwarber was terrible in some clutch situations this year including 1-14 with the bases loaded. Nobody is or was claiming Schwarber was an elite offensive player or MVP either.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4176 on: October 09, 2018, 04:48:35 pm »
Over these multiple seasons Bryant has struggled how many PA are we talking about in high leverage situations?

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4177 on: October 11, 2018, 09:51:05 am »
Sahadev Sharma has an article on Kris Bryant. While the focus is on his future with the Cubs, it includes this section, which serves as a reminder of  just how good this guy can be, and how stupid it is to do a head first slide to beat out an infield hit.

"It’s easy to forget just how good Bryant was to start the season. Through the season’s first 38 games, Bryant had a .311/.422/.595 slash line. He was walking at a 12.2 percent rate, striking out just 15.6 percent of the time and on pace for 60 doubles, 35 home runs, 120 runs scored and 99 RBIs. Then on May 19, in the 11th inning in the front end of a doubleheader against the Cincinnati Reds, Bryant did this to try and beat out an infield single.

"He was safe, recording his third hit of the day. But that’s the moment the Cubs believe Bryant banged up his left shoulder. From that point on, Bryant’s power was sapped and his season numbers were sunk. Bryant had two stints on the disabled list and played just 64 games the remainder of the season. He slashed .249/.339/.378 the rest of the way, delivering just 20 more extra-base hits (he had 24 when that slide into first occurred) while striking out 28.5 percent of the time.

"Bryant wound up posting a career-worst batting average, slugging percentage, ISO, walk rate, hard contact rate, soft contact rate and wRC+. He had his second-highest strikeout percentage and second-lowest OBP. (It would’ve been his worst OBP if not for the 17 times he got hit by a pitch.)"


For years now, the Cubs have known where they stand with Kris Bryant. With super-agent Scott Boras representing him, the luxury of a $6.7 million signing bonus to start his professional career and ...
The Athletic · theathletic.com


The video to which Sharma refers shows Bryant beating out an grounder by sliding head first into 1B.  I continue to be astonished that major league baseball players ever do this.  Guessing it may be the last time Bryant does that. Sure hope so, anyway.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4178 on: October 11, 2018, 09:58:32 am »
The video to which Sharma refers shows Bryant beating out an grounder by sliding head first into 1B.  I continue to be astonished that major league baseball players ever do this.  Guessing it may be the last time Bryant does that. Sure hope so, anyway.
I continue to be astonished that Joe Maddon allows it.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4179 on: October 11, 2018, 10:13:44 am »
Quote
"It’s easy to forget just how good Bryant was to start the season. Through the season’s first 38 games, Bryant had a .311/.422/.595 slash line. He was walking at a 12.2 percent rate, striking out just 15.6 percent of the time and on pace for 60 doubles, 35 home runs, 120 runs scored and 99 RBIs. Then on May 19, in the 11th inning in the front end of a doubleheader against the Cincinnati Reds, Bryant did this to try and beat out an infield single.

That reminds me of a post I made in the Today’s Game topic on May 25

Quote
If it weren't for Nolan Arenado, Kris Bryant would be a shoo-in for NL All-Star third baseman.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4180 on: October 11, 2018, 12:17:41 pm »
I continue to be astonished that Joe Maddon allows it.

Heh heh, yeah!  :) 

Still, I don't know, at two levels... 

First, if he started telling guys they "aren't allowed" to slide into 1st, that might be one of the first and only "not allowed" things for Maddon's players?  Is there anything that he doesn't "allow"?  His philosophy is pretty much to let guys play freely, and not tell them what they can or can't do.  (I guess "respect 90" is maybe one thing....)

Second, I'm not sure that head-first sliding is either bad, or more risky than feet-first?  Players slide a ton; is there anything wrong with head-first sliding versus feet-first sliding?  And, even if head-first is somewhat more dangerous, can you imagine telling El-Mago to quit because it's too risky? 

But I really question whether head-first actually is any more hazardous than feet-first, Bryant's injury while sliding hand-first not-withstanding?  Hand-first would seem to be more vulnerable to jamming fingers, or perhaps hurting a wrist.  But I almost feel like hard, late feet-first slides are almost as, or more risky, for ankle-injury as hand-first slides are for shoulder or wrist injury. 

And to some degree I also wonder whether running through 1st base on a close play where you're really stretching to get beat the throw might not almost be equally as more risky? 
*Getting hit in the head with a throw or a tag? 
*Body-on-body collision, at risk to knees/ankles head/neck/ribs, if the throw is off-line and the 1B needs to step into the running path to catch the ball or make a tag? 
*Pulled hamstring or pulled groin while trying to stretch to extend and reach the bag? 
*Ankle injury when landing awkwardly on the bag?
*Tripping on either the bag or the 1B's foot, and falling awkwardly? 

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4181 on: October 11, 2018, 12:24:49 pm »
It seems to me that running through first base has to be safer than any kind of slide.  Also, I'm not aware of any data that sliding is advantageous in touching first base quicker than running through the base.  I would be on board with telling my players never to slide into first base.

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4182 on: October 11, 2018, 04:26:17 pm »
I think they do it on instinct, so I'm not sure you can "ban" it in any real sense.
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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4183 on: October 11, 2018, 05:38:23 pm »
It seems to me that running through first base has to be safer than any kind of slide.  Also, I'm not aware of any data that sliding is advantageous in touching first base quicker than running through the base.  I would be on board with telling my players never to slide into first base.

This is a sincere question.  *IF* sliding (both feet-first and hands-first) is both less fast and less safe, why do so many Cubs slide?  Why would they opt for poor practice unless they had a different perception of it's merits? 

Some hypothetical answers:
1.  Maybe they incorrectly *think* it's faster?  But no coaches or Cubs-Way training ever communicated otherwise?
2.  Cubs-Way believes it's as fast or faster, or as safe or safer?  I remember Steve Stone always saying sliding was slower, and that's what I've always heard for decades; but maybe Cubs analytics believes otherwise? 

3.  Or maybe they incorrectly think it's safer?  But no coaches or Cubs-Way training every communicated otherwise?
4.  Or maybe Cubs-Way believes it's safer? 
5.  Or maybe they only slide conditionally:  when they perceive the possibility of a collision?  But perhaps the perception is that on any close play, a bad throw might put the throw and the 1B directly in the running line at the last second, so sliding obviates risk of a high-speed collision?   

Q: It seems to pretty much correlate to Cubs-Way Cubs, right?  Baez, Bryant, Almora, and Contreras, guys who came up almost exclusively under CubsWay, are the slide-into-first guys, no?  So maybe that's a reflection of what's taught in the system; or perhaps that CubsWay didn't say anything about it and doesn't address it at all?   

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Re: Cubs in '18
« Reply #4184 on: October 11, 2018, 05:40:42 pm »
October 11, 2018    View as web page
Dear Cubs Fans,

"Everybody In." This simple declaration holds great meaning. While our roster is 25 players strong, it's the millions of committed teammates that make what we do special. You bring our beloved ballpark to life and make road games feel like home games. We cannot say it enough ... you are the best fans in sports.

While we fell short of our ultimate goal in 2018, our team earned 95 wins for the third time in the past four seasons. We are just the fifth NL club in the divisional era to make the postseason four years in a row. This level of sustained success doesn't happen often and it certainly doesn't happen without your support.

The memorable moments of 2018 - some of the best ever at Wrigley Field - underscore why our ballpark is so magical. Together, we enjoyed dramatic comeback wins, electric grand slams, shutdown pitching performances and spectacular defensive plays. And, who will ever forget El Mago stealing home? In addition to countless team accomplishments, we also witnessed tremendous individual efforts. Veterans Jon Lester and Ben Zobrist were among the best at their craft, Anthony Rizzo continues to provide the heartbeat for our team, and Javy Báez, who delivered an MVP-caliber season, is perhaps the most exciting player in baseball.

Unfortunately, a thrilling summer at Wrigley Field gave way to a disappointing October. Falling one game short in the NL Central and making an early postseason exit, while both unfamiliar and uncomfortable, will motivate us. We will spend the winter working hard to give Joe Maddon and our team the support they need to reclaim our division.

In addition, we continue to restore and modernize the Friendly Confines. Inside the ballpark, we introduced new premier experiences and a variety of concessions for fans to enjoy. We will continue to deliver new fan amenities this coming season, especially in the upper level. Outside the ballpark, Hotel Zachary opened to great success and added several new retail and restaurant options. We also doubled the number of community events offered at Gallagher Way, helping make Wrigley Field and the surrounding area a year-round destination for families and fans. This award-winning community asset has transformed Wrigleyville and improved the overall gameday experience.

From our own backyard to neighborhoods all across Chicago, we're delivering on our goal of being a good neighbor. We are proud to be one of the most philanthropic franchises in sports. Our team and Cubs Charities continue to raise record funds, deliver meaningful programming and increase access to diamond sports. Through Cubs Jr. All-Stars, Diamond Project, Cubs Scholars and Cubs Care grants, we positively impacted more than 135,000 youth this year alone.

Despite our abrupt ending on the field, our team is in no way defined by one Wild Card loss. The overwhelming sentiment, from our front office to the clubhouse, is that we have a lot of work to do and will be back stronger than ever. The talented core that fueled this unprecedented run of success is still in place. Our players are young and hungry. Our fans are committed like no other fan base. We are ready to write the next chapter of our amazing story.

Go Cubs,

Tom Ricketts
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