Unless can come up with a Schwarber comp with somebody already in the HOF, it’s just spitballin.
Thirty years ago, the 500 HRs-and-you’re-in discussion was about Dave Kingman. He came off a 35 HR season that got him to 442 HRs and folks were seriously concerned about how to deal with that. Of course no way on the planet was Dave Kingman going to be in the HOF, 500 homers or not.
Fortunately, nobody wanted Kingman even after a 35 homer season, so that discussion went away.
Schwarber is, if course, way better than Kingman on many levels, including in the clubhouse, but you need more than 500 homers when so many other HOF indicia are subpar. That’s the point.
Love the guy but think that that Schwarber will have to exceed 500 by a very significant margin to get in, seems to me. Otherwise, show me a comp.