Author Topic: Hot Stove  (Read 102245 times)

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2640 on: December 19, 2025, 09:22:46 am »
All in all that's just Boras being Boras though.

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2641 on: December 19, 2025, 09:27:36 am »
I'd have loved that contract.  Just like I'd have loved Keller's.  What are we saving it for? 

Yeah I'm not sure I would have hated it either.  It's kind of an interesting contract in a way.  It's a backloaded deal, so his higher salary years are his opt out years.  Usually when a player opts out, they're looking for money and years, but 2 years and $53 million would be a large chunk of change to walk away from for a 31 year old pitcher.  If he has another season with some injuries, he probably wouldn't walk away from Year 2. 

That's probably a good example of a guy becoming pretty comfortable with a team he was traded to and giving them first dibs on re-signing him.  I'm not sure he would have signed a similar deal with anyone else. 
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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2642 on: December 19, 2025, 09:30:24 am »
I've been mulling over some comments earlier this week regarding Hoyer, player relationships, Theo, and Nico.  Who does Hoyer have a great relationship with?  The only player that it seems he really pursued was Dansby.  All others have been "business."  Theo didn't just look at numbers, he also considered loyalty, chemistry, leadership, intangibles.  It led him to seek out and sign Jon Lester, David Ross, Lackey, Fowler, etc.  He trusted some prior relationships.  I don't see Hoyer doing that.  Take Nico.  Underrated, but sometimes last couple of seasons, he was the only reason to watch.  I particularly remember the Ryne Sandberg salute and Nico standing alone in the dugout, soaking it in.  This guy is a Cub.  I'm sure he would sacrifice a bit to remain one, but Hoyer is too blind to such things, I believe.  Hoyer is making rooting for these guys harder and harder.  JMO

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2643 on: December 19, 2025, 09:43:15 am »
BN is reporting that the Giants have reached out to the Cubs about Nico…

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2644 on: December 19, 2025, 10:08:10 am »
I would be stunned if Hoerner was traded.
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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2645 on: December 19, 2025, 10:10:16 am »
This off-season is going to come down to if the Cubs will be the highest bidder for Imai and there are questions of just how good he is.  My expectactions remain low and that the Cubs will be a worse team in 2026 vs 2025 on paper.  The really interesting situation is going to be 2027 when ever the lockout ends.

Committed money: $37 million
C- Amaya (A1)
1B- Busch (A1)
2B-
SS- Swanson (FA 2030)
3B- Shaw
LF-
CF- PCA
RF-
DH-

Ballasteros, Cassie and Alcantarra can all battle it out this year to see if they can be part of future.

SP1: Horton
SP2: Steele (A4)
SP3:
SP4:
SP5:
Bullpen: Maton, Palencia, Assad
Maybe: Hodge, Little, Brown, Wiggins, Martin, Roberts, Neely, Wicks

That is going to be a ton of holes and not a ton of sure things in the minors with around $194 million to get to the CBT.  It would be nice if I made more faith in Hoyer that the Cubs could break out of the .500ish team that they so seem happy to build.

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2646 on: December 19, 2025, 10:11:07 am »
I would be stunned if Hoerner was traded.
Chances are low, but if we are going to be the Rays/Brewers that is what they do.

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2647 on: December 19, 2025, 12:22:34 pm »
I'd have loved that contract.  Just like I'd have loved Keller's.  What are we saving it for?  ....

Man if Hoyer has lost Craig….

I'm serious, what are we saving it for?  I don't know. I hope (assume) that, eventually, we find out! 

I think all of us understand the idea of budget.  Tight budget is all I've ever know (parents, family, career, churches, altruistic organizations).  Nothing unusual about a man needing to optimize spending within his budgets.  Selective spending is a normal necessity for most people ever, in home life, career life, church life.

Should Hoyer's budget by $250-265?  Sure, fault Ricketts if/when it isn't.   

But what is Hoyer doing with the budget that he's got?  He's got a bundle left... he's not spent it on Tucker or OF; on King; on Cease; or on Keller.  He's got a budget, but he's far from the end of it.  What is he saving it for?  Is it Tucker, Bregman, Imai, Framber, or what? 

*IF* it's Bregman or Imai, is he going to get one of them?  Or, "they want an extra year, so going to save it?" 

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2648 on: December 19, 2025, 12:38:46 pm »
Jesus has parable where master entrusts money to three servants.  Two of them use it well and are praised and promoted; one buries it, produces nothing, and is faulted.  I hope Hoyer uses his budget to good effect and earns success, praise and respect.  I fear he may be the faultworthy buried-it-produced-nothing servant? 

Working within budget and spending smartly/efficiently, that's professional.  Leaving chunks un-utilized, and spending poorly with what you do spend is not. 

Hoyer's got a bundle to spend.  Is he going to spend it, and effectively?  I assume yes, so I'm still quite hopeful.  But significant risk that he's just going to waste it.

Last year, he offloaded Bellinger to free budget to reallocate more effectively.  But he didn't.  He did *NOT* use that money on Bregman or Luzardo.  Of the ~$20 (?) freed by the Bellinger offload, he basically buried a chunk and wasted the rest on Pressly/Justin Turner/Jon Berti.  Not an effective reallocation. 

Saving now to buy something more impactful later, that's great.  No fault in that.  But saving now to just bury it, that's not. 

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2649 on: December 19, 2025, 01:14:17 pm »
The trade market is active today.

Jeff Passan @JeffPassan
Trade news: The Baltimore Orioles are acquiring right-hander Shane Baz from the Tampa Bay Rays for outfielder Slater de Brun, catcher Caden Bodine, right-hander Michael Forret, outfielder Austin Overn as well as a Competitive Balance Round A pick, sources tell ESPN.

And...

Chandler Rome @Chandler_Rome
The Astros, Pirates and Rays are in serious discussions about a trade that would send right-hander Mike Burrows to Houston, infielder Brandon Lowe to Pittsburgh and involve multiple other players, sources tell @Ken_Rosenthal and me.

Ken Rosenthal @Ken_Rosenthal
If trade is completed, outfielder Jacob Melton and right-hander Anderson Brito would head from the Astros to the Rays.

Ken Rosenthal @Ken_Rosenthal
Pirates also would receive outfielder Jake Mangum and left-hander Mason Montgomery from Rays


Plus, Phillies traded Matt Strahm to the Royals. I guess everyone is trying to get their deals done before they take the rest of the year off.

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2650 on: December 19, 2025, 01:30:50 pm »
I'm serious, what are we saving it for?  I don't know. I hope (assume) that, eventually, we find out! 

I think all of us understand the idea of budget.  Tight budget is all I've ever know (parents, family, career, churches, altruistic organizations).  Nothing unusual about a man needing to optimize spending within his budgets.  Selective spending is a normal necessity for most people ever, in home life, career life, church life.

Should Hoyer's budget by $250-265?  Sure, fault Ricketts if/when it isn't.   

But what is Hoyer doing with the budget that he's got?  He's got a bundle left... he's not spent it on Tucker or OF; on King; on Cease; or on Keller.  He's got a budget, but he's far from the end of it.  What is he saving it for?  Is it Tucker, Bregman, Imai, Framber, or what? 

*IF* it's Bregman or Imai, is he going to get one of them?  Or, "they want an extra year, so going to save it?" 

Welcome to the dark side Craig. 

I've felt for a bit that is Imai or bust for the Cubs.  I don't really love or want Bregman, but he might be an option that will make some people happy.
« Last Edit: December 19, 2025, 02:28:29 pm by CUBluejays »

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2651 on: December 19, 2025, 02:52:51 pm »
Moccbomb on X is pretty solid.

article
X (formerly Twitter) · x.com
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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2652 on: December 19, 2025, 04:07:40 pm »
Moccbomb on X is pretty solid.

https://x.com/moccbomb/status/2002059187875098705?s=46&t=Ys_vQAj1Yo46kkbTeBfq5A

Hope it works, hope it works!  Two more weeks.  I love having a closing date on the Japanese guys.  Nice to know it's not going to drag forever.  To my recall they always go to the end, but there's no intrinsic law that says a guy couldn't wrap it up days or week+ before the deadline. 

Fun to get a positive Cubs rumor for a change! 

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2653 on: December 19, 2025, 04:11:30 pm »
Since I don't have Twitter anymore and they won't give you recent tweets without an account this was the second tweet down..


MoccBomb
@MoccBomb
Dec 8, 2023
Sources: Shohei Ohtani is set to sign with the #BlueJays the stunning move will have Ohtani north of the border. Hearing it’s a 10+ yr deal worth $600 million. Absolutely insane deal for Ohtani. Congratulations to the #BlueJays #MoccBomb

I just found it kinda funny.  Please be right though and hopefully he's got some front end talent.  Bleacher Nation did have something about the Yankees not liking their chances with Imai earlier.

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Re: Hot Stove
« Reply #2654 on: December 19, 2025, 04:24:45 pm »
Man if Hoyer has lost Craig….

Heh heh, blue, Like I say, I'm still optimistic and hopeful!  I hope we'll get Imai and he'll do great for many years.  Or we'll get Bregman plus acquire a pitcher with spare prospects, and it will work out really well.  Our young players will improve and product.  There's a huge opportunity to have a really good team, and to improve it a bunch over days/weeks ahead. 

That said, Blue, being optimistic about the team is *not* equal to being convinced that HOyer is good. 

I think you and I have differed in view, in two fundamental ways, re the team and Hoyer.  (Sorry if I oversimplify or misrepresent...)
1.  Your view has been that the problem is Ricketts and the budget; that Hoyer is smart, within Ricketts constraints; that replacing Hoyer would have been unlikely to help, and might hurt.  The "problem" is not Hoyer, it's budget/Ricketts. 

2.  My view has been that Hoyer has not used his budget that well.  If budget is hypothetically determinative, then with $100M budget advantage over division teams, he should have regular division success.  Despite his budget advantage, that has not been true.  I think he has not optimized his budget usage, and that a smarter boss might do considerably better even within Ricketts budget. 

I also think that he has considerable executive freedom, with full authority to make baseball decisions within his budget.  When he makes faulty decisions, that's on Hoyer.  Likewise I think that the preference for short contracts with higher AAV over longer deals, I think that's Hoyer's executive decision, not Ricketts telling him whether player X could be 3-, 4-, 5-, 6-, or 7 years. 

No GM wins them all, of course.  So I'd love to have my respect for Hoyer's baseball choices increase.  Negativist me can say "traded Bellinger for reallocation money, which went to Pressly, Justin Turner, and Ricketts' pockets".  Positivist can say "Boyd, Rea, Kelly, Keller, Thielbar, Pomeranz, that was some really good work and intelligent spending." 

He's taken a path valuing prospects.  That story hasn't completed. 

I think Hoyer's capacity remains unclear.  If a healthy number of the young guys emerge as good starters, Cubs could/should be very good for an extended window.  If most of them really can't hit, it could be a different story.