Author Topic: On The Farm (11/14 - 08/15)  (Read 78468 times)

Reb

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Re: On The Farm (11/14 - 08/15)
« Reply #510 on: February 20, 2015, 04:22:28 pm »
1) If I'm really confident that framing is worth what people are saying and the numbers where significantly in favor of Molina then yes.  I am I personally there, right now, no.
2.) Only the steroid era and that is more of a maybe.
3.) No.  The Cubs just need lefties so if I was on the fence it would matter.
4.) I'm serious about the body type.  Big guys cover more of the plate with their mass, so less movement is needed to catch the ball.

It was an internal Yankee study quoted in a Grantland article, so nobody has it.  From the data the public ha,s it is at best a wash if you assume Pujols was producing around 60 runs above average on offense.  Peak Pujols produced more and peak framing Molina couldn't catch him.

Okay, thanks. 

My own view is that I have no idea what value to place on framing (other than confident it has a value of some kind). 

But, can't a case be made that Pujols in his prime was the best hitter in baseball and that, roughly during that period, Jose Molina was among the worst hitters in baseball? Think that the Molina vs. Pujols/Posada study argument is the kind of thing that somebody would fabricate if they were trying to undermine the framing argument, like an agent provocateur or the like. Let's make the case that the the worst hitter is more valuable than the best hitter because of framing--and see if  folks buy it?

So, the notion that one component of catcher defense outweighs the offensive disparity (and maybe all other catching components) is amazing to me.  If that is true the, as Robb notes in his post, MLB must immediately go to an automated strike zone to get a more fair and accurate ball/strike system.

Also interesting that seems like no insiders within the game believe the value is anything close to the Molina vs. Pujols/Posada study.  The Yankees, who actually did the study, completely ignored the study results by letting Molina walk away for $800,000 to the Jays.  Don't think they do that if they remotely believe the study. 

Also haven't seen much discussion of this in baseball media, other than sabermetric circles.  Back in the 1980s, sabermetric stuff was widely ignored too but folks are a lot more sophisticated today.  Don't think a good study would be ignored.  Yes, Cubs to some extent are taking framing into account in roster construction but it is one thing to prefer Ross over Castillo overall and another to prefer Jose Molina over Albert Pujols in his prime/Posada.  And, yes, framing is referenced in general baseball media but rarely with any specifics regarding specific value.

In any event, all pretty interesting stuff.